**Market-implied odds strongly favor 26°C as Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on August 15, reflecting official forecasts and ongoing observations from the Hong Kong Observatory.** Mid-August climatology features typical overnight lows of 26–28°C under prevailing southerly flow, high humidity, and urban heat retention, with no active cold surges or significant weather systems to drive further cooling. Real-time station readings and model guidance through the day align with this range, producing near-certainty in trader pricing. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt shift—such as persistent heavy rain or an unforecasted northerly wind change—that lowers readings below 26°C before midnight, though current atmospheric conditions and short-term guidance make such a drop improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 15 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 15 agosto?
26°C 99.4%
25°C <1%
23°C <1%
27°C <1%
$42,511 Vol.
$42,511 Vol.
15 ago 2026
22°C o inferiore
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
99%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o superiore
<1%
26°C 99.4%
25°C <1%
23°C <1%
27°C <1%
$42,511 Vol.
$42,511 Vol.
15 ago 2026
22°C o inferiore
$723 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$4,983 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$3,293 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$4,785 Vol.
1%
26°C
$11,152 Vol.
99%
27°C
$8,338 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$4,929 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,367 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,073 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$430 Vol.
<1%
32°C o superiore
$440 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Market-implied odds strongly favor 26°C as Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on August 15, reflecting official forecasts and ongoing observations from the Hong Kong Observatory.** Mid-August climatology features typical overnight lows of 26–28°C under prevailing southerly flow, high humidity, and urban heat retention, with no active cold surges or significant weather systems to drive further cooling. Real-time station readings and model guidance through the day align with this range, producing near-certainty in trader pricing. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt shift—such as persistent heavy rain or an unforecasted northerly wind change—that lowers readings below 26°C before midnight, though current atmospheric conditions and short-term guidance make such a drop improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$42,511Data di fine
15 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Market-implied odds strongly favor 26°C as Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on August 15, reflecting official forecasts and ongoing observations from the Hong Kong Observatory.** Mid-August climatology features typical overnight lows of 26–28°C under prevailing southerly flow, high humidity, and urban heat retention, with no active cold surges or significant weather systems to drive further cooling. Real-time station readings and model guidance through the day align with this range, producing near-certainty in trader pricing. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt shift—such as persistent heavy rain or an unforecasted northerly wind change—that lowers readings below 26°C before midnight, though current atmospheric conditions and short-term guidance make such a drop improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$42,511Data di fine
15 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds strongly favor 26°C as Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on August 15, reflecting official forecasts and ongoing observations from the Hong Kong Observatory.** Mid-August climatology features typical overnight lows of 26–28°C under prevailing southerly flow, high humidity, and urban heat retention, with no active cold surges or significant weather systems to drive further cooling. Real-time station readings and model guidance through the day align with this range, producing near-certainty in trader pricing. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt shift—such as persistent heavy rain or an unforecasted northerly wind change—that lowers readings below 26°C before midnight, though current atmospheric conditions and short-term guidance make such a drop improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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