Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble guidance point to a daytime maximum near 30–32°C for Seoul-Incheon on August 17 under mostly cloudy skies with a 60% chance of afternoon showers. Persistent cloud cover and scattered convection limit daytime heating compared to clearer conditions, moderating peaks toward the lower end of the range and aligning with market-implied probabilities that favor 29–30°C outcomes. Mid-August climatology averages 29–31°C, but elevated humidity and light winds from the current pattern further support trader consensus around these thresholds rather than higher values. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of resolution will refine the final maximum reading.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Seoul (Incheon) il 17 agosto?
29°C 37%
30°C 27%
28°C 21%
27°C 11%
23°C o inferiore
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
11%
28°C
21%
29°C
37%
30°C
27%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C o superiore
1%
29°C 37%
30°C 27%
28°C 21%
27°C 11%
23°C o inferiore
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
11%
28°C
21%
29°C
37%
30°C
27%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C o superiore
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble guidance point to a daytime maximum near 30–32°C for Seoul-Incheon on August 17 under mostly cloudy skies with a 60% chance of afternoon showers. Persistent cloud cover and scattered convection limit daytime heating compared to clearer conditions, moderating peaks toward the lower end of the range and aligning with market-implied probabilities that favor 29–30°C outcomes. Mid-August climatology averages 29–31°C, but elevated humidity and light winds from the current pattern further support trader consensus around these thresholds rather than higher values. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of resolution will refine the final maximum reading.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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