Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance indicates a cooler-than-normal air mass over the Midwest on August 17, with highs forecast near 77–82 °F amid scattered showers, increased cloud cover, and easterly flow off Lake Michigan. These conditions limit daytime heating and align with the market’s heaviest volume on the 78–81 °F bins. Normal August highs average 82–83 °F, but the current pattern—driven by a lingering trough and modest precipitation—has shifted consensus downward by several degrees. Updated model runs through tonight and tomorrow morning will refine exact maxima, while any earlier clearing or stronger southerly winds could push readings toward the low 80s.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Chicago il 17 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Chicago il 17 agosto?
80-81°F 45%
78-79°F 28%
82-83°F 16%
76-77°F 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 ago 2026
73°F o inferiore
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
45%
82-83°F
16%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F o superiore
<1%
80-81°F 45%
78-79°F 28%
82-83°F 16%
76-77°F 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 ago 2026
73°F o inferiore
$307 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$99 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$176 Vol.
7%
78-79°F
$153 Vol.
28%
80-81°F
$620 Vol.
45%
82-83°F
$111 Vol.
16%
84-85°F
$91 Vol.
4%
86-87°F
$112 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$177 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$331 Vol.
<1%
92°F o superiore
$410 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance indicates a cooler-than-normal air mass over the Midwest on August 17, with highs forecast near 77–82 °F amid scattered showers, increased cloud cover, and easterly flow off Lake Michigan. These conditions limit daytime heating and align with the market’s heaviest volume on the 78–81 °F bins. Normal August highs average 82–83 °F, but the current pattern—driven by a lingering trough and modest precipitation—has shifted consensus downward by several degrees. Updated model runs through tonight and tomorrow morning will refine exact maxima, while any earlier clearing or stronger southerly winds could push readings toward the low 80s.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Volume
$2,586Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance indicates a cooler-than-normal air mass over the Midwest on August 17, with highs forecast near 77–82 °F amid scattered showers, increased cloud cover, and easterly flow off Lake Michigan. These conditions limit daytime heating and align with the market’s heaviest volume on the 78–81 °F bins. Normal August highs average 82–83 °F, but the current pattern—driven by a lingering trough and modest precipitation—has shifted consensus downward by several degrees. Updated model runs through tonight and tomorrow morning will refine exact maxima, while any earlier clearing or stronger southerly winds could push readings toward the low 80s.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,586Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance indicates a cooler-than-normal air mass over the Midwest on August 17, with highs forecast near 77–82 °F amid scattered showers, increased cloud cover, and easterly flow off Lake Michigan. These conditions limit daytime heating and align with the market’s heaviest volume on the 78–81 °F bins. Normal August highs average 82–83 °F, but the current pattern—driven by a lingering trough and modest precipitation—has shifted consensus downward by several degrees. Updated model runs through tonight and tomorrow morning will refine exact maxima, while any earlier clearing or stronger southerly winds could push readings toward the low 80s.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti