National Weather Service forecasts for August 16 point to a high near 81°F under sunny skies and light northeast winds of 6–9 mph, aligning closely with the market’s leading 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins at 45.5% and 36.5% implied probability. These readings sit near Central Park’s 83°F August climatological average, with limited heat advection or Bermuda High influence to support stronger warming. Key differentiating factors include model variations in peak solar heating, potential sea-breeze moderation along the coast, and any late-day convection that could cap afternoon maxima. Traders weigh these against historical mid-August patterns and the day’s official observation for resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di New York il 16 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di New York il 16 agosto?
80-81°F 45%
82-83°F 29%
78-79°F 15%
84-85°F 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 ago 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
15%
80-81°F
45%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
10%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 45%
82-83°F 29%
78-79°F 15%
84-85°F 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 ago 2026
71°F or below
$127 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$33 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$71 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$840 Vol.
6%
78-79°F
$380 Vol.
15%
80-81°F
$477 Vol.
45%
82-83°F
$227 Vol.
29%
84-85°F
$856 Vol.
10%
86-87°F
$264 Vol.
3%
88-89°F
$451 Vol.
<1%
90°F or higher
$137 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for August 16 point to a high near 81°F under sunny skies and light northeast winds of 6–9 mph, aligning closely with the market’s leading 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins at 45.5% and 36.5% implied probability. These readings sit near Central Park’s 83°F August climatological average, with limited heat advection or Bermuda High influence to support stronger warming. Key differentiating factors include model variations in peak solar heating, potential sea-breeze moderation along the coast, and any late-day convection that could cap afternoon maxima. Traders weigh these against historical mid-August patterns and the day’s official observation for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volume
$3,864Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for August 16 point to a high near 81°F under sunny skies and light northeast winds of 6–9 mph, aligning closely with the market’s leading 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins at 45.5% and 36.5% implied probability. These readings sit near Central Park’s 83°F August climatological average, with limited heat advection or Bermuda High influence to support stronger warming. Key differentiating factors include model variations in peak solar heating, potential sea-breeze moderation along the coast, and any late-day convection that could cap afternoon maxima. Traders weigh these against historical mid-August patterns and the day’s official observation for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,864Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for August 16 point to a high near 81°F under sunny skies and light northeast winds of 6–9 mph, aligning closely with the market’s leading 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins at 45.5% and 36.5% implied probability. These readings sit near Central Park’s 83°F August climatological average, with limited heat advection or Bermuda High influence to support stronger warming. Key differentiating factors include model variations in peak solar heating, potential sea-breeze moderation along the coast, and any late-day convection that could cap afternoon maxima. Traders weigh these against historical mid-August patterns and the day’s official observation for resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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