Recent model consensus from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather points to a daily high near 29–30°C in São Paulo on August 17, above the month’s climatological average of roughly 24–25°C, driven by persistent warmer-than-normal conditions across central Brazil with limited cold frontal activity. INMET seasonal guidance reinforcing above-average temperatures through mid-August has reinforced trader positioning around these values, with 30°C holding the highest implied probability at 36%. Short-range forecast uncertainty, including potential afternoon cloud cover or minor steering shifts, keeps 29°C and 31°C as viable near-term alternatives while lower outcomes remain discounted given the current thermal anomaly. Updated official guidance tomorrow morning will provide the final observational tiebreaker for resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di San Paolo il 17 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di San Paolo il 17 agosto?
30°C 36%
29°C 23%
31°C 23%
28°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
13%
29°C
23%
30°C
36%
31°C
23%
32°C or higher
6%
30°C 36%
29°C 23%
31°C 23%
28°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 ago 2026
22°C or below
$321 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$321 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$674 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$355 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$22 Vol.
1%
27°C
$322 Vol.
6%
28°C
$148 Vol.
13%
29°C
$412 Vol.
23%
30°C
$211 Vol.
36%
31°C
$251 Vol.
23%
32°C or higher
$148 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather points to a daily high near 29–30°C in São Paulo on August 17, above the month’s climatological average of roughly 24–25°C, driven by persistent warmer-than-normal conditions across central Brazil with limited cold frontal activity. INMET seasonal guidance reinforcing above-average temperatures through mid-August has reinforced trader positioning around these values, with 30°C holding the highest implied probability at 36%. Short-range forecast uncertainty, including potential afternoon cloud cover or minor steering shifts, keeps 29°C and 31°C as viable near-term alternatives while lower outcomes remain discounted given the current thermal anomaly. Updated official guidance tomorrow morning will provide the final observational tiebreaker for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 15, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
Volume
$3,185Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 9:55 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather points to a daily high near 29–30°C in São Paulo on August 17, above the month’s climatological average of roughly 24–25°C, driven by persistent warmer-than-normal conditions across central Brazil with limited cold frontal activity. INMET seasonal guidance reinforcing above-average temperatures through mid-August has reinforced trader positioning around these values, with 30°C holding the highest implied probability at 36%. Short-range forecast uncertainty, including potential afternoon cloud cover or minor steering shifts, keeps 29°C and 31°C as viable near-term alternatives while lower outcomes remain discounted given the current thermal anomaly. Updated official guidance tomorrow morning will provide the final observational tiebreaker for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,185Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 9:55 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather points to a daily high near 29–30°C in São Paulo on August 17, above the month’s climatological average of roughly 24–25°C, driven by persistent warmer-than-normal conditions across central Brazil with limited cold frontal activity. INMET seasonal guidance reinforcing above-average temperatures through mid-August has reinforced trader positioning around these values, with 30°C holding the highest implied probability at 36%. Short-range forecast uncertainty, including potential afternoon cloud cover or minor steering shifts, keeps 29°C and 31°C as viable near-term alternatives while lower outcomes remain discounted given the current thermal anomaly. Updated official guidance tomorrow morning will provide the final observational tiebreaker for resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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