Recent forecast guidance from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather points to a daytime maximum near 28 °C in São Paulo under scattered clouds, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 26–29 °C. Subtropical winter conditions, dominated by the South Atlantic subtropical high, favor modest southerly flow and limited moisture, limiting convective cooling while allowing moderate solar heating. Model consensus shows little spread in boundary-layer temperatures, though variable low-level cloud cover and slight differences in wind speed can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C. Historical August averages near 27 °C provide context, but today’s clear-to-partly-cloudy regime and dry air mass support the narrow probability band traders have priced. Updated INMET or ECMWF runs this afternoon remain the key near-term catalyst.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di San Paolo il 16 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di San Paolo il 16 agosto?
28°C 28%
27°C 23%
26°C 22%
29°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
22%
27°C
23%
28°C
28%
29°C
13%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 28%
27°C 23%
26°C 22%
29°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 ago 2026
22°C or below
$253 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$128 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$401 Vol.
1%
25°C
$796 Vol.
6%
26°C
$820 Vol.
22%
27°C
$3,532 Vol.
23%
28°C
$1,786 Vol.
28%
29°C
$517 Vol.
13%
30°C
$670 Vol.
2%
31°C
$141 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$356 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather points to a daytime maximum near 28 °C in São Paulo under scattered clouds, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 26–29 °C. Subtropical winter conditions, dominated by the South Atlantic subtropical high, favor modest southerly flow and limited moisture, limiting convective cooling while allowing moderate solar heating. Model consensus shows little spread in boundary-layer temperatures, though variable low-level cloud cover and slight differences in wind speed can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C. Historical August averages near 27 °C provide context, but today’s clear-to-partly-cloudy regime and dry air mass support the narrow probability band traders have priced. Updated INMET or ECMWF runs this afternoon remain the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 15, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Volume
$9,402Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:00 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather points to a daytime maximum near 28 °C in São Paulo under scattered clouds, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 26–29 °C. Subtropical winter conditions, dominated by the South Atlantic subtropical high, favor modest southerly flow and limited moisture, limiting convective cooling while allowing moderate solar heating. Model consensus shows little spread in boundary-layer temperatures, though variable low-level cloud cover and slight differences in wind speed can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C. Historical August averages near 27 °C provide context, but today’s clear-to-partly-cloudy regime and dry air mass support the narrow probability band traders have priced. Updated INMET or ECMWF runs this afternoon remain the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,402Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:00 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather points to a daytime maximum near 28 °C in São Paulo under scattered clouds, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 26–29 °C. Subtropical winter conditions, dominated by the South Atlantic subtropical high, favor modest southerly flow and limited moisture, limiting convective cooling while allowing moderate solar heating. Model consensus shows little spread in boundary-layer temperatures, though variable low-level cloud cover and slight differences in wind speed can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C. Historical August averages near 27 °C provide context, but today’s clear-to-partly-cloudy regime and dry air mass support the narrow probability band traders have priced. Updated INMET or ECMWF runs this afternoon remain the key near-term catalyst.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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