Current forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather point to a daily maximum near 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 17 under cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers, aligning with the market’s leading 31°C outcome at 45.5% implied probability. Mid-August subtropical conditions typically produce highs averaging 31–32°C, moderated by high humidity, light easterly winds, and potential afternoon convection that caps peak temperatures. Recent days have seen similar readings around 30–34°C without major typhoon influences or extreme heat domes shifting the pattern. Official observations will resolve the market against these thresholds, with traders weighting the consensus range given short-term model agreement and climatological baselines.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 17 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 17 agosto?
31°C 46%
30°C 27%
32°C 19%
29°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 ago 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
27%
31°C
46%
32°C
19%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 46%
30°C 27%
32°C 19%
29°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 ago 2026
25°C or below
$159 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$158 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$454 Vol.
3%
29°C
$1,421 Vol.
6%
30°C
$556 Vol.
27%
31°C
$932 Vol.
46%
32°C
$1,213 Vol.
19%
33°C
$173 Vol.
2%
34°C
$709 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$393 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather point to a daily maximum near 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 17 under cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers, aligning with the market’s leading 31°C outcome at 45.5% implied probability. Mid-August subtropical conditions typically produce highs averaging 31–32°C, moderated by high humidity, light easterly winds, and potential afternoon convection that caps peak temperatures. Recent days have seen similar readings around 30–34°C without major typhoon influences or extreme heat domes shifting the pattern. Official observations will resolve the market against these thresholds, with traders weighting the consensus range given short-term model agreement and climatological baselines.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Volume
$6,208Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather point to a daily maximum near 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 17 under cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers, aligning with the market’s leading 31°C outcome at 45.5% implied probability. Mid-August subtropical conditions typically produce highs averaging 31–32°C, moderated by high humidity, light easterly winds, and potential afternoon convection that caps peak temperatures. Recent days have seen similar readings around 30–34°C without major typhoon influences or extreme heat domes shifting the pattern. Official observations will resolve the market against these thresholds, with traders weighting the consensus range given short-term model agreement and climatological baselines.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,208Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather point to a daily maximum near 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 17 under cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers, aligning with the market’s leading 31°C outcome at 45.5% implied probability. Mid-August subtropical conditions typically produce highs averaging 31–32°C, moderated by high humidity, light easterly winds, and potential afternoon convection that caps peak temperatures. Recent days have seen similar readings around 30–34°C without major typhoon influences or extreme heat domes shifting the pattern. Official observations will resolve the market against these thresholds, with traders weighting the consensus range given short-term model agreement and climatological baselines.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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