Current short-range forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting ECMWF/GFS ensembles indicate Moscow highs near 22–23°C on August 18 under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds that moderate daytime heating. Trader sentiment centers on this narrow ensemble spread, reflecting the post-heat-wave transition to a cooler air mass after early-August peaks above 30°C. Stable steering patterns and modest moisture limit upside risk above 25°C or downside below 20°C, consistent with climatological late-summer norms. Key upcoming inputs include the next model runs and official updates from monitoring agencies, which will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Mosca il 18 agosto?
22°C 25%
23°C 25%
24°C 24%
20°C 19%
18°C or below
7%
19°C
7%
20°C
19%
21°C
11%
22°C
25%
23°C
25%
24°C
24%
25°C
7%
26°C
7%
27°C
7%
28°C or higher
7%
22°C 25%
23°C 25%
24°C 24%
20°C 19%
18°C or below
7%
19°C
7%
20°C
19%
21°C
11%
22°C
25%
23°C
25%
24°C
24%
25°C
7%
26°C
7%
27°C
7%
28°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting ECMWF/GFS ensembles indicate Moscow highs near 22–23°C on August 18 under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds that moderate daytime heating. Trader sentiment centers on this narrow ensemble spread, reflecting the post-heat-wave transition to a cooler air mass after early-August peaks above 30°C. Stable steering patterns and modest moisture limit upside risk above 25°C or downside below 20°C, consistent with climatological late-summer norms. Key upcoming inputs include the next model runs and official updates from monitoring agencies, which will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti