Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 18 point to overnight minima of 16–17°C amid increasing cloud cover and a moderating Atlantic air mass following earlier heat. These conditions reduce radiative cooling compared to clear nights, supporting trader positioning around 17–19°C as the most probable range. Historical August averages near 14–15°C provide context, while model consensus from European and UK sources shows limited intensification of cooling ahead of the date. Updated guidance on frontal passage and wind patterns could refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra il 18 agosto?
18°C 37%
19°C 26%
17°C 21%
16°C 6%
14°C o inferiore
3%
15°C
4%
16°C
6%
17°C
21%
18°C
37%
19°C
26%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C o superiore
1%
18°C 37%
19°C 26%
17°C 21%
16°C 6%
14°C o inferiore
3%
15°C
4%
16°C
6%
17°C
21%
18°C
37%
19°C
26%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C o superiore
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 18 point to overnight minima of 16–17°C amid increasing cloud cover and a moderating Atlantic air mass following earlier heat. These conditions reduce radiative cooling compared to clear nights, supporting trader positioning around 17–19°C as the most probable range. Historical August averages near 14–15°C provide context, while model consensus from European and UK sources shows limited intensification of cooling ahead of the date. Updated guidance on frontal passage and wind patterns could refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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