Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a maximum of 26°C in London on August 18 under partly cloudy skies following the early-August heat spike. Post-frontal subsidence and moderate northwesterly flow are limiting further warming, while variable cloud cover and a modest risk of showers introduce uncertainty around peak solar insolation. Historical August climatology shows daily maxima near 22–23°C, so the current setup favors values 2–4°C above average but below recent extremes. With forecasts still subject to 1–2°C adjustments from updated model runs on the 17th, traders are weighting 24–26°C outcomes most heavily as the resolution window narrows.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Londra il 18 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Londra il 18 agosto?
25°C 30%
24°C 27%
26°C 19%
23°C 12%
NUOVO
$12,708 Vol.
NUOVO
$12,708 Vol.
18 ago 2026
22°C or below
6%
23°C
12%
24°C
27%
25°C
30%
26°C
19%
27°C
9%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 30%
24°C 27%
26°C 19%
23°C 12%
NUOVO
$12,708 Vol.
NUOVO
$12,708 Vol.
18 ago 2026
22°C or below
$542 Vol.
6%
23°C
$632 Vol.
12%
24°C
$1,716 Vol.
27%
25°C
$3,534 Vol.
30%
26°C
$2,121 Vol.
19%
27°C
$842 Vol.
9%
28°C
$319 Vol.
4%
29°C
$1,342 Vol.
1%
30°C
$557 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$552 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$552 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a maximum of 26°C in London on August 18 under partly cloudy skies following the early-August heat spike. Post-frontal subsidence and moderate northwesterly flow are limiting further warming, while variable cloud cover and a modest risk of showers introduce uncertainty around peak solar insolation. Historical August climatology shows daily maxima near 22–23°C, so the current setup favors values 2–4°C above average but below recent extremes. With forecasts still subject to 1–2°C adjustments from updated model runs on the 17th, traders are weighting 24–26°C outcomes most heavily as the resolution window narrows.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$12,708Data di fine
18 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a maximum of 26°C in London on August 18 under partly cloudy skies following the early-August heat spike. Post-frontal subsidence and moderate northwesterly flow are limiting further warming, while variable cloud cover and a modest risk of showers introduce uncertainty around peak solar insolation. Historical August climatology shows daily maxima near 22–23°C, so the current setup favors values 2–4°C above average but below recent extremes. With forecasts still subject to 1–2°C adjustments from updated model runs on the 17th, traders are weighting 24–26°C outcomes most heavily as the resolution window narrows.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,708Data di fine
18 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a maximum of 26°C in London on August 18 under partly cloudy skies following the early-August heat spike. Post-frontal subsidence and moderate northwesterly flow are limiting further warming, while variable cloud cover and a modest risk of showers introduce uncertainty around peak solar insolation. Historical August climatology shows daily maxima near 22–23°C, so the current setup favors values 2–4°C above average but below recent extremes. With forecasts still subject to 1–2°C adjustments from updated model runs on the 17th, traders are weighting 24–26°C outcomes most heavily as the resolution window narrows.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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