Recent forecasts from MetService and the UK Met Office indicate a maximum temperature of 9–10°C in Wellington on August 17 under southerly flow, with showers possible and stronger winds. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those two outcomes at combined implied odds above 95%. A recent burst of polar air has kept regional temperatures near or below seasonal norms for mid-winter, while model guidance shows limited warming potential ahead of the 24-hour period. NIWA’s August outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average conditions, consistent with the current consensus range. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final observational window before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wellington il 17 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Wellington il 17 agosto?
10°C 54%
9°C 42%
8°C 4%
11°C 4%
NUOVO
$23,910 Vol.
NUOVO
$23,910 Vol.
17 ago 2026
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
2%
8°C
4%
9°C
42%
10°C
54%
11°C
4%
12°C
2%
13°C
1%
14°C or higher
<1%
10°C 54%
9°C 42%
8°C 4%
11°C 4%
NUOVO
$23,910 Vol.
NUOVO
$23,910 Vol.
17 ago 2026
4°C or below
$110 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$106 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$1,799 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$3,387 Vol.
2%
8°C
$4,606 Vol.
4%
9°C
$4,167 Vol.
42%
10°C
$3,743 Vol.
54%
11°C
$1,803 Vol.
4%
12°C
$1,704 Vol.
2%
13°C
$2,176 Vol.
1%
14°C or higher
$309 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and the UK Met Office indicate a maximum temperature of 9–10°C in Wellington on August 17 under southerly flow, with showers possible and stronger winds. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those two outcomes at combined implied odds above 95%. A recent burst of polar air has kept regional temperatures near or below seasonal norms for mid-winter, while model guidance shows limited warming potential ahead of the 24-hour period. NIWA’s August outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average conditions, consistent with the current consensus range. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final observational window before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
Volume
$23,910Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and the UK Met Office indicate a maximum temperature of 9–10°C in Wellington on August 17 under southerly flow, with showers possible and stronger winds. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those two outcomes at combined implied odds above 95%. A recent burst of polar air has kept regional temperatures near or below seasonal norms for mid-winter, while model guidance shows limited warming potential ahead of the 24-hour period. NIWA’s August outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average conditions, consistent with the current consensus range. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final observational window before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,910Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from MetService and the UK Met Office indicate a maximum temperature of 9–10°C in Wellington on August 17 under southerly flow, with showers possible and stronger winds. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those two outcomes at combined implied odds above 95%. A recent burst of polar air has kept regional temperatures near or below seasonal norms for mid-winter, while model guidance shows limited warming potential ahead of the 24-hour period. NIWA’s August outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average conditions, consistent with the current consensus range. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final observational window before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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