Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a cloudy day with occasional scattered showers for Tokyo on August 17, moderating peak temperatures to around 31°C amid typical summer humidity and urban heat effects. Trader consensus favoring 29–30°C as leading outcomes aligns with model consensus on cloud cover limiting full solar heating, consistent with historical August baselines near 31.4°C daily normal maximum. Recent data releases show slight downward revisions from earlier 32–33°C projections due to increased moisture and reduced insolation, while low probabilities for 32°C or higher reflect the slim chance of clearing skies enabling stronger afternoon warming. Updated model runs and JMA briefings in the next 24 hours could further shift these implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 17 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 17 agosto?
30°C 41%
29°C 32%
31°C 11%
28°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 ago 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
10%
29°C
32%
30°C
41%
31°C
11%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 41%
29°C 32%
31°C 11%
28°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 ago 2026
24°C or below
$1,180 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$803 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$156 Vol.
1%
27°C
$467 Vol.
4%
28°C
$807 Vol.
10%
29°C
$823 Vol.
32%
30°C
$1,033 Vol.
41%
31°C
$290 Vol.
11%
32°C
$308 Vol.
3%
33°C
$216 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$296 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a cloudy day with occasional scattered showers for Tokyo on August 17, moderating peak temperatures to around 31°C amid typical summer humidity and urban heat effects. Trader consensus favoring 29–30°C as leading outcomes aligns with model consensus on cloud cover limiting full solar heating, consistent with historical August baselines near 31.4°C daily normal maximum. Recent data releases show slight downward revisions from earlier 32–33°C projections due to increased moisture and reduced insolation, while low probabilities for 32°C or higher reflect the slim chance of clearing skies enabling stronger afternoon warming. Updated model runs and JMA briefings in the next 24 hours could further shift these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Volume
$6,380Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a cloudy day with occasional scattered showers for Tokyo on August 17, moderating peak temperatures to around 31°C amid typical summer humidity and urban heat effects. Trader consensus favoring 29–30°C as leading outcomes aligns with model consensus on cloud cover limiting full solar heating, consistent with historical August baselines near 31.4°C daily normal maximum. Recent data releases show slight downward revisions from earlier 32–33°C projections due to increased moisture and reduced insolation, while low probabilities for 32°C or higher reflect the slim chance of clearing skies enabling stronger afternoon warming. Updated model runs and JMA briefings in the next 24 hours could further shift these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,380Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a cloudy day with occasional scattered showers for Tokyo on August 17, moderating peak temperatures to around 31°C amid typical summer humidity and urban heat effects. Trader consensus favoring 29–30°C as leading outcomes aligns with model consensus on cloud cover limiting full solar heating, consistent with historical August baselines near 31.4°C daily normal maximum. Recent data releases show slight downward revisions from earlier 32–33°C projections due to increased moisture and reduced insolation, while low probabilities for 32°C or higher reflect the slim chance of clearing skies enabling stronger afternoon warming. Updated model runs and JMA briefings in the next 24 hours could further shift these implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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