Cooler northwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover ahead of a frontal system are suppressing daytime heating over Warsaw, keeping forecast highs clustered around 20–22°C on August 19 according to recent European model runs and Polish meteorological guidance. Scattered showers expected late in the day further limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling, while light-to-moderate winds enhance mixing that prevents localized spikes. These conditions align with the market’s strongest implied probability on 21°C, followed by 20°C, as traders incorporate short-range ensemble consensus that shows little support for readings above 23°C or below 19°C under the current synoptic pattern. New model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 19 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 19 agosto?
21°C 34%
20°C 20%
22°C 17%
19°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 ago 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
8%
20°C
20%
21°C
34%
22°C
17%
23°C
7%
24°C or higher
1%
21°C 34%
20°C 20%
22°C 17%
19°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 ago 2026
14°C or below
$191 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$29 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$29 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$380 Vol.
1%
18°C
$224 Vol.
5%
19°C
$200 Vol.
8%
20°C
$101 Vol.
20%
21°C
$89 Vol.
34%
22°C
$69 Vol.
17%
23°C
$29 Vol.
7%
24°C or higher
$19 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cooler northwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover ahead of a frontal system are suppressing daytime heating over Warsaw, keeping forecast highs clustered around 20–22°C on August 19 according to recent European model runs and Polish meteorological guidance. Scattered showers expected late in the day further limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling, while light-to-moderate winds enhance mixing that prevents localized spikes. These conditions align with the market’s strongest implied probability on 21°C, followed by 20°C, as traders incorporate short-range ensemble consensus that shows little support for readings above 23°C or below 19°C under the current synoptic pattern. New model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,335Data di fine
19 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cooler northwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover ahead of a frontal system are suppressing daytime heating over Warsaw, keeping forecast highs clustered around 20–22°C on August 19 according to recent European model runs and Polish meteorological guidance. Scattered showers expected late in the day further limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling, while light-to-moderate winds enhance mixing that prevents localized spikes. These conditions align with the market’s strongest implied probability on 21°C, followed by 20°C, as traders incorporate short-range ensemble consensus that shows little support for readings above 23°C or below 19°C under the current synoptic pattern. New model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,335Data di fine
19 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cooler northwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover ahead of a frontal system are suppressing daytime heating over Warsaw, keeping forecast highs clustered around 20–22°C on August 19 according to recent European model runs and Polish meteorological guidance. Scattered showers expected late in the day further limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling, while light-to-moderate winds enhance mixing that prevents localized spikes. These conditions align with the market’s strongest implied probability on 21°C, followed by 20°C, as traders incorporate short-range ensemble consensus that shows little support for readings above 23°C or below 19°C under the current synoptic pattern. New model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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