Forecast models for Beijing on August 17, 2026, consistently project daytime highs of 30–33°C, positioning 32°C as the modal outcome amid late-summer cooling. Seasonal temperature decline from July peaks, combined with increasing cloud cover and humidity typical of the East Asian monsoon transition, limits extreme heat while supporting moderate afternoon maxima near 32°C. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and regional ensembles shows limited day-to-day variability, with isolated thunderstorms potentially capping peaks through evaporative cooling. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 31–33°C, reflecting alignment with these short-range forecasts rather than historical August averages near 30°C. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data point that could shift resolution odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Pechino il 17 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Pechino il 17 agosto?
32°C 43%
33°C 26%
31°C 22%
30°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 ago 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
22%
32°C
43%
33°C
26%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 43%
33°C 26%
31°C 22%
30°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 ago 2026
27°C or below
$466 Vol.
1%
28°C
$2,374 Vol.
1%
29°C
$920 Vol.
3%
30°C
$706 Vol.
6%
31°C
$1,316 Vol.
22%
32°C
$445 Vol.
43%
33°C
$405 Vol.
26%
34°C
$522 Vol.
5%
35°C
$179 Vol.
2%
36°C
$693 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$674 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Beijing on August 17, 2026, consistently project daytime highs of 30–33°C, positioning 32°C as the modal outcome amid late-summer cooling. Seasonal temperature decline from July peaks, combined with increasing cloud cover and humidity typical of the East Asian monsoon transition, limits extreme heat while supporting moderate afternoon maxima near 32°C. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and regional ensembles shows limited day-to-day variability, with isolated thunderstorms potentially capping peaks through evaporative cooling. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 31–33°C, reflecting alignment with these short-range forecasts rather than historical August averages near 30°C. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data point that could shift resolution odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
Volume
$8,701Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Beijing on August 17, 2026, consistently project daytime highs of 30–33°C, positioning 32°C as the modal outcome amid late-summer cooling. Seasonal temperature decline from July peaks, combined with increasing cloud cover and humidity typical of the East Asian monsoon transition, limits extreme heat while supporting moderate afternoon maxima near 32°C. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and regional ensembles shows limited day-to-day variability, with isolated thunderstorms potentially capping peaks through evaporative cooling. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 31–33°C, reflecting alignment with these short-range forecasts rather than historical August averages near 30°C. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data point that could shift resolution odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,701Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Beijing on August 17, 2026, consistently project daytime highs of 30–33°C, positioning 32°C as the modal outcome amid late-summer cooling. Seasonal temperature decline from July peaks, combined with increasing cloud cover and humidity typical of the East Asian monsoon transition, limits extreme heat while supporting moderate afternoon maxima near 32°C. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and regional ensembles shows limited day-to-day variability, with isolated thunderstorms potentially capping peaks through evaporative cooling. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 31–33°C, reflecting alignment with these short-range forecasts rather than historical August averages near 30°C. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data point that could shift resolution odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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