Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs show an elevated warm air mass at the 850 hPa level driving surface highs near 90 °F in Seattle on June 15, with the market’s tight clustering around the 88–91 °F bins reflecting that consensus. Positive temperature anomalies of 14–16 °C aloft, combined with downslope flow and limited marine influence, favor the upper end of seasonal norms; however, small shifts in cloud cover or wind direction could trim the peak by a degree or two. Heat advisories already in effect underscore the unusual early-June intensity, while the final NWS forecast discussion tomorrow morning will provide the last major update before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Seattle il 15 giugno?
90-91°F 39%
88-89°F 31%
92-93°F 11.4%
86-87°F 11%
83°F o inferiore
2%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
31%
90-91°F
39%
92-93°F
11%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F o superiore
<1%
90-91°F 39%
88-89°F 31%
92-93°F 11.4%
86-87°F 11%
83°F o inferiore
2%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
31%
90-91°F
39%
92-93°F
11%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs show an elevated warm air mass at the 850 hPa level driving surface highs near 90 °F in Seattle on June 15, with the market’s tight clustering around the 88–91 °F bins reflecting that consensus. Positive temperature anomalies of 14–16 °C aloft, combined with downslope flow and limited marine influence, favor the upper end of seasonal norms; however, small shifts in cloud cover or wind direction could trim the peak by a degree or two. Heat advisories already in effect underscore the unusual early-June intensity, while the final NWS forecast discussion tomorrow morning will provide the last major update before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti