Latest forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and major models points to a highest temperature in Houston on June 15 near the mid-to-upper 80s, with trader consensus split between the 84–87°F bins. Persistent Gulf moisture, high dew points near 75°F, and moderate southeasterly flow favor afternoon convection that can limit peak readings through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while any delay in storm initiation or stronger subsidence would allow temperatures to reach the upper 80s. Recent early-June heat, with actual highs frequently 88–92°F under sunnier conditions, has kept the 88–89°F outcome priced at 17.5 percent, but model agreement on scattered thunderstorms tomorrow maintains tight clustering around 85°F. Updated runs and radar trends through the overnight hours will clarify whether convection arrives early enough to suppress the maximum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Houston il 15 giugno?
86-87°F 33%
84-85°F 31%
88-89°F 18%
82-83°F 9%
75°F o inferiore
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
31%
86-87°F
33%
88-89°F
18%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
3%
94°F o superiore
1%
86-87°F 33%
84-85°F 31%
88-89°F 18%
82-83°F 9%
75°F o inferiore
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
31%
86-87°F
33%
88-89°F
18%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
3%
94°F o superiore
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 13, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and major models points to a highest temperature in Houston on June 15 near the mid-to-upper 80s, with trader consensus split between the 84–87°F bins. Persistent Gulf moisture, high dew points near 75°F, and moderate southeasterly flow favor afternoon convection that can limit peak readings through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while any delay in storm initiation or stronger subsidence would allow temperatures to reach the upper 80s. Recent early-June heat, with actual highs frequently 88–92°F under sunnier conditions, has kept the 88–89°F outcome priced at 17.5 percent, but model agreement on scattered thunderstorms tomorrow maintains tight clustering around 85°F. Updated runs and radar trends through the overnight hours will clarify whether convection arrives early enough to suppress the maximum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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