Trader consensus has consolidated on a 92–93 °F high at Houston’s William P. Hobby Airport station because official National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance placed the June 13 maximum near that level under partly cloudy skies, southeasterly flow, and typical mid-June humidity. This outcome aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 92 °F for the date and with ensemble model runs showing modest afternoon warming without strong frontal or tropical moisture influences. The 100 % market-implied probability reflects post-event confirmation that the observed maximum fell squarely in the 92–93 °F bin; only a substantial revision in station data or an unrecognized mesoscale cooling event could reopen other ranges.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Houston il 13 giugno?
92-93°F 100.0%
79°F o inferiore <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$39,491 Vol.
$39,491 Vol.
79°F o inferiore
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
100%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F o superiore
<1%
92-93°F 100.0%
79°F o inferiore <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$39,491 Vol.
$39,491 Vol.
79°F o inferiore
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
100%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 11, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus has consolidated on a 92–93 °F high at Houston’s William P. Hobby Airport station because official National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance placed the June 13 maximum near that level under partly cloudy skies, southeasterly flow, and typical mid-June humidity. This outcome aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 92 °F for the date and with ensemble model runs showing modest afternoon warming without strong frontal or tropical moisture influences. The 100 % market-implied probability reflects post-event confirmation that the observed maximum fell squarely in the 92–93 °F bin; only a substantial revision in station data or an unrecognized mesoscale cooling event could reopen other ranges.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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