Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF models indicate a peak temperature near 30°C for Milan on June 14, 2026, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and gradual advection of warmer air masses typical for early summer in the Po Valley. This aligns with the market's leading 62.5% implied probability for 30°C, followed by 31°C at 20%, reflecting minor ensemble spread in maximum readings. Historical June climatology shows average highs of 25–28°C, with urban heat island effects in Milan often adding 1–2°C; current model consensus and lack of significant cloud cover or precipitation support the tight clustering around these values ahead of official station verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Milan on June 14?
Highest temperature in Milan on June 14?
30°C 74%
29°C 26.0%
31°C 11%
32°C 1.3%
$35,466 Vol.
$35,466 Vol.
14 giu 2026
28°C o inferiore
<1%
29°C
24%
30°C
62%
31°C
11%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
30°C 74%
29°C 26.0%
31°C 11%
32°C 1.3%
$35,466 Vol.
$35,466 Vol.
14 giu 2026
28°C o inferiore
$5,662 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$6,356 Vol.
24%
30°C
$4,494 Vol.
62%
31°C
$5,327 Vol.
11%
32°C
$5,193 Vol.
1%
33°C
$4,709 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$3,261 Vol.
1%
35°C
$340 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$215 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$155 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$354 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF models indicate a peak temperature near 30°C for Milan on June 14, 2026, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and gradual advection of warmer air masses typical for early summer in the Po Valley. This aligns with the market's leading 62.5% implied probability for 30°C, followed by 31°C at 20%, reflecting minor ensemble spread in maximum readings. Historical June climatology shows average highs of 25–28°C, with urban heat island effects in Milan often adding 1–2°C; current model consensus and lack of significant cloud cover or precipitation support the tight clustering around these values ahead of official station verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$35,466Data di fine
14 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF models indicate a peak temperature near 30°C for Milan on June 14, 2026, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and gradual advection of warmer air masses typical for early summer in the Po Valley. This aligns with the market's leading 62.5% implied probability for 30°C, followed by 31°C at 20%, reflecting minor ensemble spread in maximum readings. Historical June climatology shows average highs of 25–28°C, with urban heat island effects in Milan often adding 1–2°C; current model consensus and lack of significant cloud cover or precipitation support the tight clustering around these values ahead of official station verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$35,466Data di fine
14 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF models indicate a peak temperature near 30°C for Milan on June 14, 2026, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and gradual advection of warmer air masses typical for early summer in the Po Valley. This aligns with the market's leading 62.5% implied probability for 30°C, followed by 31°C at 20%, reflecting minor ensemble spread in maximum readings. Historical June climatology shows average highs of 25–28°C, with urban heat island effects in Milan often adding 1–2°C; current model consensus and lack of significant cloud cover or precipitation support the tight clustering around these values ahead of official station verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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