Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS place Milan’s June 15 maximum near 30–31 °C under a building subtropical ridge that promotes subsidence and clear skies, limiting cloud cover and allowing strong daytime insolation. Minor spread in the 29–32 °C range stems from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing depth, low-level wind direction, and the precise timing of peak heating relative to Milan’s urban heat-island effect. With the market implying roughly equal probabilities for 30 °C and 31 °C, traders are pricing the remaining model uncertainty and the final 12–18 h of forecast refinement expected before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Milan on June 15?
Highest temperature in Milan on June 15?
30°C 39%
31°C 35%
32°C 19%
29°C or below 5.0%
NUOVO
$10,719 Vol.
NUOVO
$10,719 Vol.
15 giu 2026
29°C or below
5%
30°C
39%
31°C
35%
32°C
19%
33°C
4%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
30°C 39%
31°C 35%
32°C 19%
29°C or below 5.0%
NUOVO
$10,719 Vol.
NUOVO
$10,719 Vol.
15 giu 2026
29°C or below
$2,469 Vol.
5%
30°C
$1,512 Vol.
39%
31°C
$1,136 Vol.
35%
32°C
$826 Vol.
19%
33°C
$552 Vol.
4%
34°C
$762 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,160 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$689 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$835 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$311 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$506 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS place Milan’s June 15 maximum near 30–31 °C under a building subtropical ridge that promotes subsidence and clear skies, limiting cloud cover and allowing strong daytime insolation. Minor spread in the 29–32 °C range stems from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing depth, low-level wind direction, and the precise timing of peak heating relative to Milan’s urban heat-island effect. With the market implying roughly equal probabilities for 30 °C and 31 °C, traders are pricing the remaining model uncertainty and the final 12–18 h of forecast refinement expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$10,719Data di fine
15 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS place Milan’s June 15 maximum near 30–31 °C under a building subtropical ridge that promotes subsidence and clear skies, limiting cloud cover and allowing strong daytime insolation. Minor spread in the 29–32 °C range stems from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing depth, low-level wind direction, and the precise timing of peak heating relative to Milan’s urban heat-island effect. With the market implying roughly equal probabilities for 30 °C and 31 °C, traders are pricing the remaining model uncertainty and the final 12–18 h of forecast refinement expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,719Data di fine
15 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS place Milan’s June 15 maximum near 30–31 °C under a building subtropical ridge that promotes subsidence and clear skies, limiting cloud cover and allowing strong daytime insolation. Minor spread in the 29–32 °C range stems from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing depth, low-level wind direction, and the precise timing of peak heating relative to Milan’s urban heat-island effect. With the market implying roughly equal probabilities for 30 °C and 31 °C, traders are pricing the remaining model uncertainty and the final 12–18 h of forecast refinement expected before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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