**Trader sentiment for Seoul's June 15 overnight low centers on 18°C and 19°C as the leading outcomes (38% and 33.5% implied probability), reflecting tight clustering around typical early-June climatology.** Seoul's average minimum temperatures in mid-June hover near 17–18°C under transitional spring-to-summer patterns, with the current forecast consensus shaped by clear to partly cloudy conditions that support moderate radiative cooling overnight. Recent model guidance highlights light winds and relatively low humidity levels that favor temperatures settling in the upper teens, while subtle differences in cloud cover timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact minimum by 1°C. Urban heat island effects from the Seoul metropolitan area add a slight warming bias relative to rural stations, narrowing the gap between 18°C and 19°C outcomes. With resolution hinging on the official Korea Meteorological Administration observation between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time, traders are weighting the latest short-range model runs and any last-minute adjustments to the pressure ridge dominating the region.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Seoul il 15 giugno?
La temperatura più bassa a Seoul il 15 giugno?
18°C 38%
19°C 34%
20°C 13%
17°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 giu 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
8%
18°C
38%
19°C
34%
20°C
13%
21°C
6%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
18°C 38%
19°C 34%
20°C 13%
17°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 giu 2026
13°C or below
$647 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$790 Vol.
1%
15°C
$873 Vol.
1%
16°C
$16 Vol.
2%
17°C
$33 Vol.
8%
18°C
$17 Vol.
38%
19°C
$44 Vol.
34%
20°C
$39 Vol.
13%
21°C
$27 Vol.
6%
22°C
$351 Vol.
1%
23°C or higher
$1,122 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Seoul's June 15 overnight low centers on 18°C and 19°C as the leading outcomes (38% and 33.5% implied probability), reflecting tight clustering around typical early-June climatology.**
Seoul's average minimum temperatures in mid-June hover near 17–18°C under transitional spring-to-summer patterns, with the current forecast consensus shaped by clear to partly cloudy conditions that support moderate radiative cooling overnight. Recent model guidance highlights light winds and relatively low humidity levels that favor temperatures settling in the upper teens, while subtle differences in cloud cover timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact minimum by 1°C.
Urban heat island effects from the Seoul metropolitan area add a slight warming bias relative to rural stations, narrowing the gap between 18°C and 19°C outcomes. With resolution hinging on the official Korea Meteorological Administration observation between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time, traders are weighting the latest short-range model runs and any last-minute adjustments to the pressure ridge dominating the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Volume
$3,858Data di fine
15 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Seoul's June 15 overnight low centers on 18°C and 19°C as the leading outcomes (38% and 33.5% implied probability), reflecting tight clustering around typical early-June climatology.**
Seoul's average minimum temperatures in mid-June hover near 17–18°C under transitional spring-to-summer patterns, with the current forecast consensus shaped by clear to partly cloudy conditions that support moderate radiative cooling overnight. Recent model guidance highlights light winds and relatively low humidity levels that favor temperatures settling in the upper teens, while subtle differences in cloud cover timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact minimum by 1°C.
Urban heat island effects from the Seoul metropolitan area add a slight warming bias relative to rural stations, narrowing the gap between 18°C and 19°C outcomes. With resolution hinging on the official Korea Meteorological Administration observation between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time, traders are weighting the latest short-range model runs and any last-minute adjustments to the pressure ridge dominating the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,858Data di fine
15 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Seoul's June 15 overnight low centers on 18°C and 19°C as the leading outcomes (38% and 33.5% implied probability), reflecting tight clustering around typical early-June climatology.** Seoul's average minimum temperatures in mid-June hover near 17–18°C under transitional spring-to-summer patterns, with the current forecast consensus shaped by clear to partly cloudy conditions that support moderate radiative cooling overnight. Recent model guidance highlights light winds and relatively low humidity levels that favor temperatures settling in the upper teens, while subtle differences in cloud cover timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact minimum by 1°C. Urban heat island effects from the Seoul metropolitan area add a slight warming bias relative to rural stations, narrowing the gap between 18°C and 19°C outcomes. With resolution hinging on the official Korea Meteorological Administration observation between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time, traders are weighting the latest short-range model runs and any last-minute adjustments to the pressure ridge dominating the region.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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