Recent MetService and ensemble model guidance points to a maximum of 16°C for Wellington on June 15, driven by a mild northerly airflow under a high-pressure ridge that limits cloud cover and allows modest daytime solar heating. With seasonal averages near 13°C, this setup produces above-normal readings, yet the tight 45.5%–43% split between 17°C and 16°C reflects lingering uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds, which can either enhance or suppress afternoon warming by 1°C. Updated short-range runs from global models show minimal spread, but any increase in low-level stratus or a slight backing of the flow overnight could cap the peak at 16°C rather than permitting the extra degree of insolation needed for 17°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Wellington on June 15?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 15?
17°C 46%
16°C 44%
18°C 5%
15°C 4.0%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 giu 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
4%
16°C
44%
17°C
46%
18°C
5%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 46%
16°C 44%
18°C 5%
15°C 4.0%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 giu 2026
11°C or below
$117 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$205 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$865 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$286 Vol.
1%
15°C
$922 Vol.
4%
16°C
$377 Vol.
44%
17°C
$1,163 Vol.
46%
18°C
$485 Vol.
5%
19°C
$623 Vol.
1%
20°C
$547 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$352 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and ensemble model guidance points to a maximum of 16°C for Wellington on June 15, driven by a mild northerly airflow under a high-pressure ridge that limits cloud cover and allows modest daytime solar heating. With seasonal averages near 13°C, this setup produces above-normal readings, yet the tight 45.5%–43% split between 17°C and 16°C reflects lingering uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds, which can either enhance or suppress afternoon warming by 1°C. Updated short-range runs from global models show minimal spread, but any increase in low-level stratus or a slight backing of the flow overnight could cap the peak at 16°C rather than permitting the extra degree of insolation needed for 17°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$5,937Data di fine
15 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and ensemble model guidance points to a maximum of 16°C for Wellington on June 15, driven by a mild northerly airflow under a high-pressure ridge that limits cloud cover and allows modest daytime solar heating. With seasonal averages near 13°C, this setup produces above-normal readings, yet the tight 45.5%–43% split between 17°C and 16°C reflects lingering uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds, which can either enhance or suppress afternoon warming by 1°C. Updated short-range runs from global models show minimal spread, but any increase in low-level stratus or a slight backing of the flow overnight could cap the peak at 16°C rather than permitting the extra degree of insolation needed for 17°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,937Data di fine
15 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent MetService and ensemble model guidance points to a maximum of 16°C for Wellington on June 15, driven by a mild northerly airflow under a high-pressure ridge that limits cloud cover and allows modest daytime solar heating. With seasonal averages near 13°C, this setup produces above-normal readings, yet the tight 45.5%–43% split between 17°C and 16°C reflects lingering uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds, which can either enhance or suppress afternoon warming by 1°C. Updated short-range runs from global models show minimal spread, but any increase in low-level stratus or a slight backing of the flow overnight could cap the peak at 16°C rather than permitting the extra degree of insolation needed for 17°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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