Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a minimum temperature near 18°C for Tokyo on June 15 amid rain and increasing cloud cover associated with the early tsuyu rainy season. These conditions suppress nighttime radiative cooling and align with climatological baselines showing typical mid-June lows of 18–19°C. Ensemble model guidance supports modest variability between 17–19°C, with limited potential for cooler readings absent stronger cold-air advection. Trader positioning around these outcomes reflects the narrow uncertainty window one day ahead of resolution, consistent with historical patterns for Tokyo’s early-summer temperature distribution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Tokyo il 15 giugno?
18°C 40%
17°C 28%
19°C 20%
20°C 4.5%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
28%
18°C
40%
19°C
24%
20°C
5%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 40%
17°C 28%
19°C 20%
20°C 4.5%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
28%
18°C
40%
19°C
24%
20°C
5%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a minimum temperature near 18°C for Tokyo on June 15 amid rain and increasing cloud cover associated with the early tsuyu rainy season. These conditions suppress nighttime radiative cooling and align with climatological baselines showing typical mid-June lows of 18–19°C. Ensemble model guidance supports modest variability between 17–19°C, with limited potential for cooler readings absent stronger cold-air advection. Trader positioning around these outcomes reflects the narrow uncertainty window one day ahead of resolution, consistent with historical patterns for Tokyo’s early-summer temperature distribution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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