Trader consensus on Guangzhou's June 15 maximum clusters tightly around 29–30 °C because short-range ensemble guidance from major numerical models shows modest spread driven by variable afternoon convective timing and cloud cover. In this early-summer subtropical monsoon regime, high boundary-layer moisture and typical insolation support climatological highs near 31 °C, yet scattered showers or increased low-level stratus can shave 1–3 °C off the peak. Official outlooks place the daytime maximum near 30 °C under partly cloudy skies, with limited steering flow keeping any sea-breeze moderation localized. The narrow probability distribution reflects high model agreement on these thresholds while acknowledging that a brief clearing or delayed convection could still permit a brief excursion to 31 °C before radiative cooling sets in after solar noon.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on June 15?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 15?
30°C 28%
29°C 27%
28°C 14%
31°C 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 giu 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
14%
29°C
27%
30°C
28%
31°C
14%
32°C or higher
10%
30°C 28%
29°C 27%
28°C 14%
31°C 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 giu 2026
22°C or below
$655 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$26 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$448 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$213 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$416 Vol.
2%
27°C
$266 Vol.
5%
28°C
$369 Vol.
14%
29°C
$352 Vol.
27%
30°C
$135 Vol.
28%
31°C
$291 Vol.
14%
32°C or higher
$1,452 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Guangzhou's June 15 maximum clusters tightly around 29–30 °C because short-range ensemble guidance from major numerical models shows modest spread driven by variable afternoon convective timing and cloud cover. In this early-summer subtropical monsoon regime, high boundary-layer moisture and typical insolation support climatological highs near 31 °C, yet scattered showers or increased low-level stratus can shave 1–3 °C off the peak. Official outlooks place the daytime maximum near 30 °C under partly cloudy skies, with limited steering flow keeping any sea-breeze moderation localized. The narrow probability distribution reflects high model agreement on these thresholds while acknowledging that a brief clearing or delayed convection could still permit a brief excursion to 31 °C before radiative cooling sets in after solar noon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$4,545Data di fine
15 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Guangzhou's June 15 maximum clusters tightly around 29–30 °C because short-range ensemble guidance from major numerical models shows modest spread driven by variable afternoon convective timing and cloud cover. In this early-summer subtropical monsoon regime, high boundary-layer moisture and typical insolation support climatological highs near 31 °C, yet scattered showers or increased low-level stratus can shave 1–3 °C off the peak. Official outlooks place the daytime maximum near 30 °C under partly cloudy skies, with limited steering flow keeping any sea-breeze moderation localized. The narrow probability distribution reflects high model agreement on these thresholds while acknowledging that a brief clearing or delayed convection could still permit a brief excursion to 31 °C before radiative cooling sets in after solar noon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,545Data di fine
15 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Guangzhou's June 15 maximum clusters tightly around 29–30 °C because short-range ensemble guidance from major numerical models shows modest spread driven by variable afternoon convective timing and cloud cover. In this early-summer subtropical monsoon regime, high boundary-layer moisture and typical insolation support climatological highs near 31 °C, yet scattered showers or increased low-level stratus can shave 1–3 °C off the peak. Official outlooks place the daytime maximum near 30 °C under partly cloudy skies, with limited steering flow keeping any sea-breeze moderation localized. The narrow probability distribution reflects high model agreement on these thresholds while acknowledging that a brief clearing or delayed convection could still permit a brief excursion to 31 °C before radiative cooling sets in after solar noon.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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