Forecast consensus from major models positions Munich's June 15 high near 21–23°C, driving the market's concentration on 22°C (40.5%) and 21°C (25.5%) outcomes. Synoptic conditions feature weak westerly flow and limited warm-air advection under partly cloudy skies, consistent with early-summer climatology where daily maxima average 20–22°C. Recent model runs show stable guidance with minimal spread, reducing odds of 24°C or higher (under 6% combined) while keeping cooler 20°C scenarios viable if cloud cover thickens. Traders weigh these ensemble outputs and short-range updates ahead of resolution, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of temperature thresholds measured at official stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Munich on June 15?
Highest temperature in Munich on June 15?
22°C 41%
21°C 26%
23°C 13%
20°C 10%
NUOVO
$10,990 Vol.
NUOVO
$10,990 Vol.
15 giu 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
10%
21°C
26%
22°C
41%
23°C
13%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 41%
21°C 26%
23°C 13%
20°C 10%
NUOVO
$10,990 Vol.
NUOVO
$10,990 Vol.
15 giu 2026
16°C or below
$207 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,015 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$631 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,985 Vol.
2%
20°C
$1,616 Vol.
10%
21°C
$1,071 Vol.
26%
22°C
$1,152 Vol.
41%
23°C
$1,164 Vol.
13%
24°C
$507 Vol.
5%
25°C
$1,025 Vol.
1%
26°C or higher
$886 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from major models positions Munich's June 15 high near 21–23°C, driving the market's concentration on 22°C (40.5%) and 21°C (25.5%) outcomes. Synoptic conditions feature weak westerly flow and limited warm-air advection under partly cloudy skies, consistent with early-summer climatology where daily maxima average 20–22°C. Recent model runs show stable guidance with minimal spread, reducing odds of 24°C or higher (under 6% combined) while keeping cooler 20°C scenarios viable if cloud cover thickens. Traders weigh these ensemble outputs and short-range updates ahead of resolution, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of temperature thresholds measured at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Volume
$10,990Data di fine
15 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from major models positions Munich's June 15 high near 21–23°C, driving the market's concentration on 22°C (40.5%) and 21°C (25.5%) outcomes. Synoptic conditions feature weak westerly flow and limited warm-air advection under partly cloudy skies, consistent with early-summer climatology where daily maxima average 20–22°C. Recent model runs show stable guidance with minimal spread, reducing odds of 24°C or higher (under 6% combined) while keeping cooler 20°C scenarios viable if cloud cover thickens. Traders weigh these ensemble outputs and short-range updates ahead of resolution, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of temperature thresholds measured at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,990Data di fine
15 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from major models positions Munich's June 15 high near 21–23°C, driving the market's concentration on 22°C (40.5%) and 21°C (25.5%) outcomes. Synoptic conditions feature weak westerly flow and limited warm-air advection under partly cloudy skies, consistent with early-summer climatology where daily maxima average 20–22°C. Recent model runs show stable guidance with minimal spread, reducing odds of 24°C or higher (under 6% combined) while keeping cooler 20°C scenarios viable if cloud cover thickens. Traders weigh these ensemble outputs and short-range updates ahead of resolution, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of temperature thresholds measured at official stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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