Current ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) clusters the expected daily maximum in Munich near 22–23 °C on June 16, supported by a weak westerly flow, limited cloud cover, and light winds that allow modest diurnal warming under high pressure. This produces the tight market distribution between those two outcomes. Differentiation among 22 °C, 23 °C, and 24 °C hinges on small uncertainties in afternoon insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise arrival of any subtle moisture or frontal features that could cap or enhance the peak by 1–2 °C. Official verification will use the Deutscher Wetterdienst station network, where urban effects and exact siting add minor additional variance to model output within the final 24–36 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Munich on June 16?
Highest temperature in Munich on June 16?
22°C 30%
23°C 28%
21°C 17%
24°C 17%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 giu 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
5%
21°C
17%
22°C
30%
23°C
28%
24°C
17%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 30%
23°C 28%
21°C 17%
24°C 17%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 giu 2026
18°C or below
$569 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$712 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$79 Vol.
5%
21°C
$141 Vol.
17%
22°C
$124 Vol.
30%
23°C
$147 Vol.
28%
24°C
$647 Vol.
17%
25°C
$333 Vol.
2%
26°C
$296 Vol.
1%
27°C
$438 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$482 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) clusters the expected daily maximum in Munich near 22–23 °C on June 16, supported by a weak westerly flow, limited cloud cover, and light winds that allow modest diurnal warming under high pressure. This produces the tight market distribution between those two outcomes. Differentiation among 22 °C, 23 °C, and 24 °C hinges on small uncertainties in afternoon insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise arrival of any subtle moisture or frontal features that could cap or enhance the peak by 1–2 °C. Official verification will use the Deutscher Wetterdienst station network, where urban effects and exact siting add minor additional variance to model output within the final 24–36 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$3,952Data di fine
16 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) clusters the expected daily maximum in Munich near 22–23 °C on June 16, supported by a weak westerly flow, limited cloud cover, and light winds that allow modest diurnal warming under high pressure. This produces the tight market distribution between those two outcomes. Differentiation among 22 °C, 23 °C, and 24 °C hinges on small uncertainties in afternoon insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise arrival of any subtle moisture or frontal features that could cap or enhance the peak by 1–2 °C. Official verification will use the Deutscher Wetterdienst station network, where urban effects and exact siting add minor additional variance to model output within the final 24–36 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,952Data di fine
16 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) clusters the expected daily maximum in Munich near 22–23 °C on June 16, supported by a weak westerly flow, limited cloud cover, and light winds that allow modest diurnal warming under high pressure. This produces the tight market distribution between those two outcomes. Differentiation among 22 °C, 23 °C, and 24 °C hinges on small uncertainties in afternoon insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise arrival of any subtle moisture or frontal features that could cap or enhance the peak by 1–2 °C. Official verification will use the Deutscher Wetterdienst station network, where urban effects and exact siting add minor additional variance to model output within the final 24–36 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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