Current ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models indicate Moscow's June 15 maximum will most likely fall in the 20–23 °C range, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied probabilities. Key differentiating factors include the degree of daytime cloud cover and timing of any thundery showers, which reduce surface heating and cap temperatures near 21 °C, versus clearer intervals that allow stronger solar insolation and push readings toward 23 °C. Regional pressure gradients and low-level moisture advection from the south further modulate boundary-layer warmth, while historical June climatology shows typical maxima near 22 °C. Fresh model runs and satellite updates expected overnight will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Moscow on June 15?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 15?
22°C 30%
21°C 24%
20°C 18%
23°C 17%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 giu 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
7%
20°C
18%
21°C
24%
22°C
30%
23°C
17%
24°C
7%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 30%
21°C 24%
20°C 18%
23°C 17%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 giu 2026
16°C or below
$303 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$501 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$351 Vol.
2%
19°C
$459 Vol.
7%
20°C
$151 Vol.
18%
21°C
$120 Vol.
24%
22°C
$169 Vol.
30%
23°C
$238 Vol.
17%
24°C
$571 Vol.
7%
25°C
$1,357 Vol.
3%
26°C or higher
$529 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models indicate Moscow's June 15 maximum will most likely fall in the 20–23 °C range, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied probabilities. Key differentiating factors include the degree of daytime cloud cover and timing of any thundery showers, which reduce surface heating and cap temperatures near 21 °C, versus clearer intervals that allow stronger solar insolation and push readings toward 23 °C. Regional pressure gradients and low-level moisture advection from the south further modulate boundary-layer warmth, while historical June climatology shows typical maxima near 22 °C. Fresh model runs and satellite updates expected overnight will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Volume
$4,560Data di fine
15 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models indicate Moscow's June 15 maximum will most likely fall in the 20–23 °C range, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied probabilities. Key differentiating factors include the degree of daytime cloud cover and timing of any thundery showers, which reduce surface heating and cap temperatures near 21 °C, versus clearer intervals that allow stronger solar insolation and push readings toward 23 °C. Regional pressure gradients and low-level moisture advection from the south further modulate boundary-layer warmth, while historical June climatology shows typical maxima near 22 °C. Fresh model runs and satellite updates expected overnight will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,560Data di fine
15 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models indicate Moscow's June 15 maximum will most likely fall in the 20–23 °C range, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied probabilities. Key differentiating factors include the degree of daytime cloud cover and timing of any thundery showers, which reduce surface heating and cap temperatures near 21 °C, versus clearer intervals that allow stronger solar insolation and push readings toward 23 °C. Regional pressure gradients and low-level moisture advection from the south further modulate boundary-layer warmth, while historical June climatology shows typical maxima near 22 °C. Fresh model runs and satellite updates expected overnight will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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