Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance for above-normal temperatures through August, combined with current model consensus for early July, positions overnight lows near 27–28°C as the dominant outcome for the July 2 minimum. Subtropical summer conditions featuring high humidity, light winds, and typical monsoon moisture favor limited nocturnal cooling, while the absence of strong frontal systems or typhoon influences keeps extremes above the 26°C threshold probable. Short-range forecasts indicate daytime highs of 32–33°C with scattered showers that may slightly moderate the daily range but are unlikely to produce significantly cooler nights. Traders weigh these stable patterns against the inherent variability in 48-hour model runs, particularly regarding exact timing of any cloud cover or rainfall that could nudge the minimum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 2?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 2?
28°C 41%
27°C 21%
26°C 20%
32°C or higher 20%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 lug 2026
22°C or below
5%
23°C
8%
24°C
9%
25°C
10%
26°C
20%
27°C
21%
28°C
51%
29°C
18%
30°C
14%
31°C
7%
32°C or higher
20%
28°C 41%
27°C 21%
26°C 20%
32°C or higher 20%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 lug 2026
22°C or below
$22 Vol.
5%
23°C
$22 Vol.
8%
24°C
$93 Vol.
9%
25°C
$80 Vol.
10%
26°C
$0 Vol.
20%
27°C
$0 Vol.
21%
28°C
$10 Vol.
51%
29°C
$0 Vol.
18%
30°C
$0 Vol.
14%
31°C
$194 Vol.
7%
32°C or higher
$31 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance for above-normal temperatures through August, combined with current model consensus for early July, positions overnight lows near 27–28°C as the dominant outcome for the July 2 minimum. Subtropical summer conditions featuring high humidity, light winds, and typical monsoon moisture favor limited nocturnal cooling, while the absence of strong frontal systems or typhoon influences keeps extremes above the 26°C threshold probable. Short-range forecasts indicate daytime highs of 32–33°C with scattered showers that may slightly moderate the daily range but are unlikely to produce significantly cooler nights. Traders weigh these stable patterns against the inherent variability in 48-hour model runs, particularly regarding exact timing of any cloud cover or rainfall that could nudge the minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Jun 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$434Data di fine
2 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance for above-normal temperatures through August, combined with current model consensus for early July, positions overnight lows near 27–28°C as the dominant outcome for the July 2 minimum. Subtropical summer conditions featuring high humidity, light winds, and typical monsoon moisture favor limited nocturnal cooling, while the absence of strong frontal systems or typhoon influences keeps extremes above the 26°C threshold probable. Short-range forecasts indicate daytime highs of 32–33°C with scattered showers that may slightly moderate the daily range but are unlikely to produce significantly cooler nights. Traders weigh these stable patterns against the inherent variability in 48-hour model runs, particularly regarding exact timing of any cloud cover or rainfall that could nudge the minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$434Data di fine
2 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance for above-normal temperatures through August, combined with current model consensus for early July, positions overnight lows near 27–28°C as the dominant outcome for the July 2 minimum. Subtropical summer conditions featuring high humidity, light winds, and typical monsoon moisture favor limited nocturnal cooling, while the absence of strong frontal systems or typhoon influences keeps extremes above the 26°C threshold probable. Short-range forecasts indicate daytime highs of 32–33°C with scattered showers that may slightly moderate the daily range but are unlikely to produce significantly cooler nights. Traders weigh these stable patterns against the inherent variability in 48-hour model runs, particularly regarding exact timing of any cloud cover or rainfall that could nudge the minimum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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