Official National Weather Service observations from Houston-area stations recorded a daily minimum temperature of 79°F early on October 14, 2026, with overnight readings holding in the upper 70s amid persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points near 78°F, and mostly cloudy skies that limited radiational cooling. This aligns closely with the market's dominant 76-77°F outcome, reflecting the warm, humid airmass in place ahead of an approaching cold front. Historical October averages place typical lows near 64°F, underscoring how anomalous the elevated minimum was. Trader consensus at 99.5% draws from verified METAR and climatological reports, though minor station-to-station variations or precise binning criteria could theoretically shift resolution if final verified data differs slightly from preliminary readings.