Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Uttar Pradesh stations near Lucknow project a minimum temperature of 22–23°C on October 15, 2026, under clear skies and light winds that favor strong nocturnal radiative cooling after the monsoon withdrawal. This aligns with the market’s 93.5% implied probability for exactly 22°C, reflecting trader assessment of official guidance and historical October lows averaging near 19–22°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, though final IMD station readings could shift if unexpected cloud cover or localized moisture alters overnight cooling rates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato1H6H1D7D30DALL
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