Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to an overnight low near 80–81 °F for Miami on August 20, aligning with the market’s leading 46 % probability for that bin. Persistent subtropical humidity and light winds are limiting nighttime radiative cooling, sustaining the recent pattern of unusually warm lows that have already approached or broken daily records. Typical August climatology features minima around 78 °F, yet the ongoing heat dome and elevated dew points are shifting the distribution higher. Updated model runs through Wednesday night show little change in steering flow or moisture, keeping the 78–83 °F range dominant while leaving only modest probability for cooler or warmer outliers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Miami il 20 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Miami il 20 agosto?
80-81°F 40%
78-79°F 28%
82-83°F 19%
76-77°F 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 ago 2026
71°F o meno
<1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
41%
82-83°F
21%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F o superiore
<1%
80-81°F 40%
78-79°F 28%
82-83°F 19%
76-77°F 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 ago 2026
71°F o meno
$650 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$10 Vol.
3%
74-75°F
$141 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
10%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
28%
80-81°F
$24 Vol.
41%
82-83°F
$28 Vol.
21%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
6%
86-87°F
$10 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$660 Vol.
<1%
90°F o superiore
$110 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to an overnight low near 80–81 °F for Miami on August 20, aligning with the market’s leading 46 % probability for that bin. Persistent subtropical humidity and light winds are limiting nighttime radiative cooling, sustaining the recent pattern of unusually warm lows that have already approached or broken daily records. Typical August climatology features minima around 78 °F, yet the ongoing heat dome and elevated dew points are shifting the distribution higher. Updated model runs through Wednesday night show little change in steering flow or moisture, keeping the 78–83 °F range dominant while leaving only modest probability for cooler or warmer outliers.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 18, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$1,633Data di fine
20 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 18, 2026, 9:28 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to an overnight low near 80–81 °F for Miami on August 20, aligning with the market’s leading 46 % probability for that bin. Persistent subtropical humidity and light winds are limiting nighttime radiative cooling, sustaining the recent pattern of unusually warm lows that have already approached or broken daily records. Typical August climatology features minima around 78 °F, yet the ongoing heat dome and elevated dew points are shifting the distribution higher. Updated model runs through Wednesday night show little change in steering flow or moisture, keeping the 78–83 °F range dominant while leaving only modest probability for cooler or warmer outliers.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,633Data di fine
20 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 18, 2026, 9:28 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to an overnight low near 80–81 °F for Miami on August 20, aligning with the market’s leading 46 % probability for that bin. Persistent subtropical humidity and light winds are limiting nighttime radiative cooling, sustaining the recent pattern of unusually warm lows that have already approached or broken daily records. Typical August climatology features minima around 78 °F, yet the ongoing heat dome and elevated dew points are shifting the distribution higher. Updated model runs through Wednesday night show little change in steering flow or moisture, keeping the 78–83 °F range dominant while leaving only modest probability for cooler or warmer outliers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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