Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate Miami overnight lows on August 25 will likely settle near 80°F amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with high humidity and limited radiative cooling from elevated dew points and variable cloud cover. A shift from earlier August heat records toward increased tropical moisture and scattered thunderstorms has raised minimums by trapping heat, pushing trader sentiment toward the 80-81°F bin (43% implied probability) over 78-79°F (34%). Key differentiators include exact steering winds, storm timing, and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift observed lows by 1–2°F; official Miami International Airport readings will resolve the market based on the day's minimum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Miami il 25 agosto?
80-81°F 43%
78-79°F 34%
76-77°F 8%
74-75°F 7%
69°F o inferiore
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
43%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
1%
88°F o superiore
<1%
80-81°F 43%
78-79°F 34%
76-77°F 8%
74-75°F 7%
69°F o inferiore
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
43%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
1%
88°F o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate Miami overnight lows on August 25 will likely settle near 80°F amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with high humidity and limited radiative cooling from elevated dew points and variable cloud cover. A shift from earlier August heat records toward increased tropical moisture and scattered thunderstorms has raised minimums by trapping heat, pushing trader sentiment toward the 80-81°F bin (43% implied probability) over 78-79°F (34%). Key differentiators include exact steering winds, storm timing, and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift observed lows by 1–2°F; official Miami International Airport readings will resolve the market based on the day's minimum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti