Forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles currently favor overnight lows near 16°C for Paris on July 27, with trader consensus split among 16–18°C outcomes. Clear skies under a ridge of high pressure promote strong radiative cooling after sunset, while light winds limit turbulent mixing of warmer air from above the boundary layer. Small differences in predicted cloud cover timing, surface dew points, and urban heat-island retention can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated 48-hour model runs and any late changes in Atlantic low-pressure tracks remain the key variables that could move implied probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Parigi il 27 luglio?
16°C 35%
17°C 35%
18°C 30%
21°C 13%
13°C o inferiore
12%
14°C
1%
15°C
12%
16°C
35%
17°C
35%
18°C
30%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
13%
22°C
6%
23°C o superiore
6%
16°C 35%
17°C 35%
18°C 30%
21°C 13%
13°C o inferiore
12%
14°C
1%
15°C
12%
16°C
35%
17°C
35%
18°C
30%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
13%
22°C
6%
23°C o superiore
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles currently favor overnight lows near 16°C for Paris on July 27, with trader consensus split among 16–18°C outcomes. Clear skies under a ridge of high pressure promote strong radiative cooling after sunset, while light winds limit turbulent mixing of warmer air from above the boundary layer. Small differences in predicted cloud cover timing, surface dew points, and urban heat-island retention can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated 48-hour model runs and any late changes in Atlantic low-pressure tracks remain the key variables that could move implied probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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