Forecast uncertainty for Seoul's July 10 minimum temperature keeps market-implied odds tightly clustered around 21–25 °C, with 23 °C holding a slim 20 % lead. Short-range ensemble guidance from regional models shows modest spread in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds, while the urban heat-island effect and proximity to the Han River moderate extremes. Traders weigh the Korea Meteorological Administration’s next model runs and any late adjustment to the subtropical ridge position, which could shift the balance between 22 °C and 24 °C outcomes before resolution. Historical July lows average near 23 °C, underscoring why probabilities remain dispersed rather than concentrated on a single bin.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Seoul il 10 luglio?
La temperatura più bassa a Seoul il 10 luglio?
24°C 84%
23°C 15%
22°C 1.9%
21°C <1%
NUOVO
$25,653 Vol.
NUOVO
$25,653 Vol.
10 lug 2026
18°C o inferiore
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
15%
24°C
84%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C o superiore
<1%
24°C 84%
23°C 15%
22°C 1.9%
21°C <1%
NUOVO
$25,653 Vol.
NUOVO
$25,653 Vol.
10 lug 2026
18°C o inferiore
$802 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$706 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$667 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,377 Vol.
1%
22°C
$1,354 Vol.
2%
23°C
$3,172 Vol.
15%
24°C
$5,053 Vol.
84%
25°C
$4,098 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,630 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,938 Vol.
<1%
28°C o superiore
$2,856 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty for Seoul's July 10 minimum temperature keeps market-implied odds tightly clustered around 21–25 °C, with 23 °C holding a slim 20 % lead. Short-range ensemble guidance from regional models shows modest spread in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds, while the urban heat-island effect and proximity to the Han River moderate extremes. Traders weigh the Korea Meteorological Administration’s next model runs and any late adjustment to the subtropical ridge position, which could shift the balance between 22 °C and 24 °C outcomes before resolution. Historical July lows average near 23 °C, underscoring why probabilities remain dispersed rather than concentrated on a single bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$25,653Data di fine
10 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty for Seoul's July 10 minimum temperature keeps market-implied odds tightly clustered around 21–25 °C, with 23 °C holding a slim 20 % lead. Short-range ensemble guidance from regional models shows modest spread in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds, while the urban heat-island effect and proximity to the Han River moderate extremes. Traders weigh the Korea Meteorological Administration’s next model runs and any late adjustment to the subtropical ridge position, which could shift the balance between 22 °C and 24 °C outcomes before resolution. Historical July lows average near 23 °C, underscoring why probabilities remain dispersed rather than concentrated on a single bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25,653Data di fine
10 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast uncertainty for Seoul's July 10 minimum temperature keeps market-implied odds tightly clustered around 21–25 °C, with 23 °C holding a slim 20 % lead. Short-range ensemble guidance from regional models shows modest spread in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds, while the urban heat-island effect and proximity to the Han River moderate extremes. Traders weigh the Korea Meteorological Administration’s next model runs and any late adjustment to the subtropical ridge position, which could shift the balance between 22 °C and 24 °C outcomes before resolution. Historical July lows average near 23 °C, underscoring why probabilities remain dispersed rather than concentrated on a single bin.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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