Recent forecasts from global models including GFS indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on September 15 will likely reach 21–23°C under northeast winds of 5–8 m/s, partly cloudy skies, and high pressure near 1018 hPa. These conditions support moderate overnight radiational cooling without significant cloud cover or precipitation to retain heat. Market-implied odds favor 22–23°C because multiple model runs converge on this range, consistent with early-autumn climatology where daily minima average near 20°C. No major synoptic shifts have emerged in the past 24 hours to alter the outlook, though traders monitor final evening observations and any last model updates before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 15 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 15 settembre?
23°C 46%
22°C 33%
24°C 19%
21°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 set 2026
18°C o inferiore
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
7%
21°C
9%
22°C
33%
23°C
42%
24°C
19%
25°C
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C o superiore
<1%
23°C 46%
22°C 33%
24°C 19%
21°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 set 2026
18°C o inferiore
$218 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$201 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$249 Vol.
7%
21°C
$273 Vol.
9%
22°C
$1,022 Vol.
33%
23°C
$349 Vol.
42%
24°C
$717 Vol.
19%
25°C
$509 Vol.
3%
26°C
$10 Vol.
6%
27°C
$10 Vol.
2%
28°C o superiore
$218 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models including GFS indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on September 15 will likely reach 21–23°C under northeast winds of 5–8 m/s, partly cloudy skies, and high pressure near 1018 hPa. These conditions support moderate overnight radiational cooling without significant cloud cover or precipitation to retain heat. Market-implied odds favor 22–23°C because multiple model runs converge on this range, consistent with early-autumn climatology where daily minima average near 20°C. No major synoptic shifts have emerged in the past 24 hours to alter the outlook, though traders monitor final evening observations and any last model updates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$3,775Data di fine
15 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models including GFS indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on September 15 will likely reach 21–23°C under northeast winds of 5–8 m/s, partly cloudy skies, and high pressure near 1018 hPa. These conditions support moderate overnight radiational cooling without significant cloud cover or precipitation to retain heat. Market-implied odds favor 22–23°C because multiple model runs converge on this range, consistent with early-autumn climatology where daily minima average near 20°C. No major synoptic shifts have emerged in the past 24 hours to alter the outlook, though traders monitor final evening observations and any last model updates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,775Data di fine
15 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models including GFS indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on September 15 will likely reach 21–23°C under northeast winds of 5–8 m/s, partly cloudy skies, and high pressure near 1018 hPa. These conditions support moderate overnight radiational cooling without significant cloud cover or precipitation to retain heat. Market-implied odds favor 22–23°C because multiple model runs converge on this range, consistent with early-autumn climatology where daily minima average near 20°C. No major synoptic shifts have emerged in the past 24 hours to alter the outlook, though traders monitor final evening observations and any last model updates before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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