McDonald's Q2 2026 global comparable sales face downward pressure from a tough year-over-year comparison against the prior period's 3.8% gain and soft April trends, with management flagging a meaningful deceleration and slightly negative monthly results in both the U.S. and international segments. Analyst models center U.S. same-store sales around 0.5–1.1% for the quarter, reflecting value-meal traction offset by cautious consumer spending and lapping of 2025 promotions. Trader positioning on Polymarket aggregates these earnings previews and sequential trends into the current distribution, with the 3.5–4.5% band holding the plurality at 39% implied probability despite the guidance for moderation. Key resolution catalyst remains the upcoming earnings release, where any upside in guest counts or margin expansion could shift odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato3,5%-4,5% 39%
2,5%-3,5% 26%
<1,5% 23%
Oltre il 4,5% 3.0%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ago 2026
<1,5%
23%
1,5%-2,5%
54%
2,5%-3,5%
26%
3,5%-4,5%
39%
Oltre il 4,5%
3%
3,5%-4,5% 39%
2,5%-3,5% 26%
<1,5% 23%
Oltre il 4,5% 3.0%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ago 2026
<1,5%
$20 Vol.
23%
1,5%-2,5%
$118 Vol.
54%
2,5%-3,5%
$18 Vol.
26%
3,5%-4,5%
$32 Vol.
39%
Oltre il 4,5%
$21 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to McDonald's' global comparable sales growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.McDonald's Q2 2026 global comparable sales face downward pressure from a tough year-over-year comparison against the prior period's 3.8% gain and soft April trends, with management flagging a meaningful deceleration and slightly negative monthly results in both the U.S. and international segments. Analyst models center U.S. same-store sales around 0.5–1.1% for the quarter, reflecting value-meal traction offset by cautious consumer spending and lapping of 2025 promotions. Trader positioning on Polymarket aggregates these earnings previews and sequential trends into the current distribution, with the 3.5–4.5% band holding the plurality at 39% implied probability despite the guidance for moderation. Key resolution catalyst remains the upcoming earnings release, where any upside in guest counts or margin expansion could shift odds.
This market will resolve according to McDonald's' global comparable sales growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 26, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
Volume
$209Data di fine
4 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 26, 2026, 4:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to McDonald's' global comparable sales growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.McDonald's Q2 2026 global comparable sales face downward pressure from a tough year-over-year comparison against the prior period's 3.8% gain and soft April trends, with management flagging a meaningful deceleration and slightly negative monthly results in both the U.S. and international segments. Analyst models center U.S. same-store sales around 0.5–1.1% for the quarter, reflecting value-meal traction offset by cautious consumer spending and lapping of 2025 promotions. Trader positioning on Polymarket aggregates these earnings previews and sequential trends into the current distribution, with the 3.5–4.5% band holding the plurality at 39% implied probability despite the guidance for moderation. Key resolution catalyst remains the upcoming earnings release, where any upside in guest counts or margin expansion could shift odds.
This market will resolve according to McDonald's' global comparable sales growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Volume
$209Data di fine
4 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 26, 2026, 4:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...McDonald's Q2 2026 global comparable sales face downward pressure from a tough year-over-year comparison against the prior period's 3.8% gain and soft April trends, with management flagging a meaningful deceleration and slightly negative monthly results in both the U.S. and international segments. Analyst models center U.S. same-store sales around 0.5–1.1% for the quarter, reflecting value-meal traction offset by cautious consumer spending and lapping of 2025 promotions. Trader positioning on Polymarket aggregates these earnings previews and sequential trends into the current distribution, with the 3.5–4.5% band holding the plurality at 39% implied probability despite the guidance for moderation. Key resolution catalyst remains the upcoming earnings release, where any upside in guest counts or margin expansion could shift odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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