Michigan's open 2026 gubernatorial race features Democratic nominee Jocelyn Benson, the sitting secretary of state who won her party's primary by a wide margin on August 4, against Republican nominee John James, a U.S. representative who secured his nomination in the same primary cycle. Recent polling shows Benson holding a narrow lead, consistent with Michigan's pattern of Democratic success in statewide contests since 2018 and advantages in key voter turnout and fundraising metrics. Traders assign the Democratic outcome an 85.5% implied probability, reflecting the party's structural edge in this battleground state and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions that could shift the race toward the Republican challenger.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoDemocratico 86%
Repubblicano 15%
Indipendente 1.4%
$198,019 Vol.
$198,019 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratico
86%
Repubblicano
15%
Indipendente
1%
Democratico 86%
Repubblicano 15%
Indipendente 1.4%
$198,019 Vol.
$198,019 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratico
$47,149 Vol.
86%
Repubblicano
$150,254 Vol.
15%
Indipendente
$616 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Michigan's open 2026 gubernatorial race features Democratic nominee Jocelyn Benson, the sitting secretary of state who won her party's primary by a wide margin on August 4, against Republican nominee John James, a U.S. representative who secured his nomination in the same primary cycle. Recent polling shows Benson holding a narrow lead, consistent with Michigan's pattern of Democratic success in statewide contests since 2018 and advantages in key voter turnout and fundraising metrics. Traders assign the Democratic outcome an 85.5% implied probability, reflecting the party's structural edge in this battleground state and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions that could shift the race toward the Republican challenger.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$198,019Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Michigan's open 2026 gubernatorial race features Democratic nominee Jocelyn Benson, the sitting secretary of state who won her party's primary by a wide margin on August 4, against Republican nominee John James, a U.S. representative who secured his nomination in the same primary cycle. Recent polling shows Benson holding a narrow lead, consistent with Michigan's pattern of Democratic success in statewide contests since 2018 and advantages in key voter turnout and fundraising metrics. Traders assign the Democratic outcome an 85.5% implied probability, reflecting the party's structural edge in this battleground state and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions that could shift the race toward the Republican challenger.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$198,019Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's open 2026 gubernatorial race features Democratic nominee Jocelyn Benson, the sitting secretary of state who won her party's primary by a wide margin on August 4, against Republican nominee John James, a U.S. representative who secured his nomination in the same primary cycle. Recent polling shows Benson holding a narrow lead, consistent with Michigan's pattern of Democratic success in statewide contests since 2018 and advantages in key voter turnout and fundraising metrics. Traders assign the Democratic outcome an 85.5% implied probability, reflecting the party's structural edge in this battleground state and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions that could shift the race toward the Republican challenger.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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