Michigan Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary by a wide margin, positioning her as the clear frontrunner against Republican nominee U.S. Rep. John James in the open-seat race to replace term-limited Governor Gretchen Whitmer. Recent general-election polling averages show Benson ahead by several points among likely voters, reflecting Michigan's recent Democratic performance in statewide contests and the party's structural advantages in turnout and fundraising. James consolidated Republican support after his primary victory but trails in head-to-head surveys conducted since June. An independent bid by Detroit Mayor Mike Duggan remains a minor factor at low single-digit support, limiting any meaningful spoiler effect in the November general election. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee an 84% implied probability, consistent with these polling trends and historical patterns for the party in this battleground state.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoDemocratico 84%
Repubblicano 15%
Indipendente 1.4%
$196,589 Vol.
$196,589 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratico
84%
Repubblicano
15%
Indipendente
1%
Democratico 84%
Repubblicano 15%
Indipendente 1.4%
$196,589 Vol.
$196,589 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratico
$45,719 Vol.
84%
Repubblicano
$150,254 Vol.
15%
Indipendente
$616 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Michigan Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary by a wide margin, positioning her as the clear frontrunner against Republican nominee U.S. Rep. John James in the open-seat race to replace term-limited Governor Gretchen Whitmer. Recent general-election polling averages show Benson ahead by several points among likely voters, reflecting Michigan's recent Democratic performance in statewide contests and the party's structural advantages in turnout and fundraising. James consolidated Republican support after his primary victory but trails in head-to-head surveys conducted since June. An independent bid by Detroit Mayor Mike Duggan remains a minor factor at low single-digit support, limiting any meaningful spoiler effect in the November general election. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee an 84% implied probability, consistent with these polling trends and historical patterns for the party in this battleground state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$196,589Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Michigan Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary by a wide margin, positioning her as the clear frontrunner against Republican nominee U.S. Rep. John James in the open-seat race to replace term-limited Governor Gretchen Whitmer. Recent general-election polling averages show Benson ahead by several points among likely voters, reflecting Michigan's recent Democratic performance in statewide contests and the party's structural advantages in turnout and fundraising. James consolidated Republican support after his primary victory but trails in head-to-head surveys conducted since June. An independent bid by Detroit Mayor Mike Duggan remains a minor factor at low single-digit support, limiting any meaningful spoiler effect in the November general election. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee an 84% implied probability, consistent with these polling trends and historical patterns for the party in this battleground state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$196,589Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary by a wide margin, positioning her as the clear frontrunner against Republican nominee U.S. Rep. John James in the open-seat race to replace term-limited Governor Gretchen Whitmer. Recent general-election polling averages show Benson ahead by several points among likely voters, reflecting Michigan's recent Democratic performance in statewide contests and the party's structural advantages in turnout and fundraising. James consolidated Republican support after his primary victory but trails in head-to-head surveys conducted since June. An independent bid by Detroit Mayor Mike Duggan remains a minor factor at low single-digit support, limiting any meaningful spoiler effect in the November general election. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee an 84% implied probability, consistent with these polling trends and historical patterns for the party in this battleground state.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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