Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan’s August 4 primary for the open Senate seat vacated by Gary Peters, narrowly defeating Rep. Haley Stevens in a high-spending contest. This sets up a November matchup against Republican nominee Mike Rogers, who advanced unopposed after his 2024 loss. Pre-primary surveys showed El-Sayed holding a narrow or tied general-election edge over Rogers, outperforming Stevens in head-to-head tests, while RealClearPolitics averages placed the race near even. Trader positioning at roughly 60-40 for El-Sayed reflects this polling balance, Michigan’s status as a swing state, and the recent primary result that consolidated Democratic support ahead of the general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni del Senato del Michigan
Vincitore delle elezioni del Senato del Michigan
$289,172 Vol.
$289,172 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
60%
Repubblicano
42%
$289,172 Vol.
$289,172 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
$149,630 Vol.
60%
Repubblicano
$139,542 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan’s August 4 primary for the open Senate seat vacated by Gary Peters, narrowly defeating Rep. Haley Stevens in a high-spending contest. This sets up a November matchup against Republican nominee Mike Rogers, who advanced unopposed after his 2024 loss. Pre-primary surveys showed El-Sayed holding a narrow or tied general-election edge over Rogers, outperforming Stevens in head-to-head tests, while RealClearPolitics averages placed the race near even. Trader positioning at roughly 60-40 for El-Sayed reflects this polling balance, Michigan’s status as a swing state, and the recent primary result that consolidated Democratic support ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$289,172Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan’s August 4 primary for the open Senate seat vacated by Gary Peters, narrowly defeating Rep. Haley Stevens in a high-spending contest. This sets up a November matchup against Republican nominee Mike Rogers, who advanced unopposed after his 2024 loss. Pre-primary surveys showed El-Sayed holding a narrow or tied general-election edge over Rogers, outperforming Stevens in head-to-head tests, while RealClearPolitics averages placed the race near even. Trader positioning at roughly 60-40 for El-Sayed reflects this polling balance, Michigan’s status as a swing state, and the recent primary result that consolidated Democratic support ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$289,172Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan’s August 4 primary for the open Senate seat vacated by Gary Peters, narrowly defeating Rep. Haley Stevens in a high-spending contest. This sets up a November matchup against Republican nominee Mike Rogers, who advanced unopposed after his 2024 loss. Pre-primary surveys showed El-Sayed holding a narrow or tied general-election edge over Rogers, outperforming Stevens in head-to-head tests, while RealClearPolitics averages placed the race near even. Trader positioning at roughly 60-40 for El-Sayed reflects this polling balance, Michigan’s status as a swing state, and the recent primary result that consolidated Democratic support ahead of the general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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