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icon for Elezioni Senato Minas Gerais: 2° posto
Politica·Brasile

Elezioni Senato Minas Gerais: 2° posto

icon for Elezioni Senato Minas Gerais: 2° posto
Politica·Brasile

Elezioni Senato Minas Gerais: 2° posto

Domingos Sávio 27.4%

Carlos Viana 27%

Marília Campos 15%

Aécio Neves 13.6%

Polymarket

$52,563 Vol.

Domingos Sávio 27.4%

Carlos Viana 27%

Marília Campos 15%

Aécio Neves 13.6%

Polymarket

$52,563 Vol.

icon for Domingos Sávio

Domingos Sávio

$7,524 Vol.

39%

icon for Carlos Viana

Carlos Viana

$15,035 Vol.

27%

icon for Marília Campos

Marília Campos

$10,463 Vol.

15%

icon for Aécio Neves

Aécio Neves

$5,962 Vol.

14%

icon for Marco Antônio Superman

Marco Antônio Superman

$2,899 Vol.

6%

icon for Marcelo Aro

Marcelo Aro

$1,888 Vol.

7%

icon for Áurea Carolina

Áurea Carolina

$1,986 Vol.

2%

icon for Ana Luiza do MLB

Ana Luiza do MLB

$549 Vol.

<1%

icon for Arcanjo Pimenta

Arcanjo Pimenta

$692 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlin Moura

Carlin Moura

$703 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fidélis Alcântara

Fidélis Alcântara

$825 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gustavo Galassi

Gustavo Galassi

$559 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jordano Metalúrgico

Jordano Metalúrgico

$555 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juiz Ramon Moreira

Juiz Ramon Moreira

$458 Vol.

<1%

icon for Manoel Carvalho

Manoel Carvalho

$705 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marcelo Heringer

Marcelo Heringer

$581 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tião Pessoa

Tião Pessoa

$584 Vol.

<1%

icon for Victória Mello Vic

Victória Mello Vic

$594 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late September shows a fragmented contest for Minas Gerais's two Senate seats, with Marília Campos (PT) holding a narrow numeric lead in consolidated vote intentions around 18%, followed closely by Domingos Sávio (PL) and incumbent Carlos Viana (PSD) at 16% each, Aécio Neves (PSDB) at 13%, and Marcelo Aro (PP) at 12%. High undecided and blank/null shares near 12-30% across surveys keep rankings fluid. Trader pricing for second place reflects this uncertainty, with Sávio favored amid right-leaning momentum closing gaps on the PT candidate while Viana benefits from incumbency. The dual-vote system and lack of dominant frontrunners sustain tight probabilities; further September-October polling shifts, turnout patterns among key blocs, or late campaign developments could reorder the field before the October 4 vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$52,563
Data di fine
1 lug 2027
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:01 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late September shows a fragmented contest for Minas Gerais's two Senate seats, with Marília Campos (PT) holding a narrow numeric lead in consolidated vote intentions around 18%, followed closely by Domingos Sávio (PL) and incumbent Carlos Viana (PSD) at 16% each, Aécio Neves (PSDB) at 13%, and Marcelo Aro (PP) at 12%. High undecided and blank/null shares near 12-30% across surveys keep rankings fluid. Trader pricing for second place reflects this uncertainty, with Sávio favored amid right-leaning momentum closing gaps on the PT candidate while Viana benefits from incumbency. The dual-vote system and lack of dominant frontrunners sustain tight probabilities; further September-October polling shifts, turnout patterns among key blocs, or late campaign developments could reorder the field before the October 4 vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$52,563
Data di fine
1 lug 2027
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:01 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Correlati

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Janaina Riva otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Mato Grosso del 2026?

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icon for Capitão Alberto Neto otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni per il Senato dell'Amazonas del 2026?

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Domande frequenti

"Elezioni Senato Minas Gerais: 2° posto" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 18 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Domingos Sávio" a 39%, seguito da "Carlos Viana" a 27%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 39¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 39% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Elezioni Senato Minas Gerais: 2° posto" ha generato $52.6K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 17, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Elezioni Senato Minas Gerais: 2° posto", esplora i 18 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elezioni Senato Minas Gerais: 2° posto" è "Domingos Sávio" a 39%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 39% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Carlos Viana" a 27%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezioni Senato Minas Gerais: 2° posto" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.