Official surveillance from the CDC and WHO shows persistently low SARS-CoV-2 transmission across the United States and globally as of May 2026, with emergency department visits for COVID-19 at just 0.1 percent, reproductive numbers near 0.97, and new cases declining in most regions. Recent variants such as BA.3.2 and NB.1.8.1 exhibit immune escape but have not produced the severe-disease surges or sustained community transmission required to meet pandemic thresholds. This epidemiological stability underpins the market-implied 94.7 percent probability of no new coronavirus pandemic in 2026. Traders recognize that a novel zoonotic spillover or rapidly evolving high-virulence strain could still shift outcomes before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNuova pandemia di coronavirus nel 2026?
Nuova pandemia di coronavirus nel 2026?
$13,708 Vol.
$13,708 Vol.
31 dic 2026
$13,708 Vol.
$13,708 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares a new COVID pandemic other than COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.Official surveillance from the CDC and WHO shows persistently low SARS-CoV-2 transmission across the United States and globally as of May 2026, with emergency department visits for COVID-19 at just 0.1 percent, reproductive numbers near 0.97, and new cases declining in most regions. Recent variants such as BA.3.2 and NB.1.8.1 exhibit immune escape but have not produced the severe-disease surges or sustained community transmission required to meet pandemic thresholds. This epidemiological stability underpins the market-implied 94.7 percent probability of no new coronavirus pandemic in 2026. Traders recognize that a novel zoonotic spillover or rapidly evolving high-virulence strain could still shift outcomes before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares a new COVID pandemic other than COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
Mercato aperto: Jan 6, 2026, 2:40 PM ET
Volume
$13,708Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 6, 2026, 2:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares a new COVID pandemic other than COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.Official surveillance from the CDC and WHO shows persistently low SARS-CoV-2 transmission across the United States and globally as of May 2026, with emergency department visits for COVID-19 at just 0.1 percent, reproductive numbers near 0.97, and new cases declining in most regions. Recent variants such as BA.3.2 and NB.1.8.1 exhibit immune escape but have not produced the severe-disease surges or sustained community transmission required to meet pandemic thresholds. This epidemiological stability underpins the market-implied 94.7 percent probability of no new coronavirus pandemic in 2026. Traders recognize that a novel zoonotic spillover or rapidly evolving high-virulence strain could still shift outcomes before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares a new COVID pandemic other than COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
Volume
$13,708Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 6, 2026, 2:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Official surveillance from the CDC and WHO shows persistently low SARS-CoV-2 transmission across the United States and globally as of May 2026, with emergency department visits for COVID-19 at just 0.1 percent, reproductive numbers near 0.97, and new cases declining in most regions. Recent variants such as BA.3.2 and NB.1.8.1 exhibit immune escape but have not produced the severe-disease surges or sustained community transmission required to meet pandemic thresholds. This epidemiological stability underpins the market-implied 94.7 percent probability of no new coronavirus pandemic in 2026. Traders recognize that a novel zoonotic spillover or rapidly evolving high-virulence strain could still shift outcomes before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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