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Il prossimo attore di James Bond?

icon for Il prossimo attore di James Bond?

Il prossimo attore di James Bond?

Jack Lowden 33.9%

Nessun Bond scelto 20.6%

Callum Turner 16%

Jacob Elordi 8.1%

Polymarket

$98,732 Vol.

Jack Lowden 33.9%

Nessun Bond scelto 20.6%

Callum Turner 16%

Jacob Elordi 8.1%

Polymarket

$98,732 Vol.

Jack Lowden

$16,456 Vol.

34%

Nessun Bond scelto

$17,942 Vol.

21%

Callum Turner

$31,741 Vol.

16%

Jacob Elordi

$3,585 Vol.

8%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$5,436 Vol.

7%

Theo James

$6,002 Vol.

6%

Josh O'Connor

$2,778 Vol.

1%

Harris Dickinson

$1,705 Vol.

1%

Tom Hardy

$3,322 Vol.

1%

Tom Holland

$1,658 Vol.

1%

Paul Mescal

$1,417 Vol.

1%

Pierce Brosnan

$854 Vol.

1%

Timothee Chalamet

$1,081 Vol.

1%

Henry Cavill

$1,499 Vol.

<1%

James Norton

$1,247 Vol.

<1%

Michael B Jordan

$1,105 Vol.

<1%

Robert James-Collier

$906 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent insider commentary from broadcaster Richard Osman has propelled Scottish actor Jack Lowden into the lead, citing strong consideration for the role amid ongoing auditions overseen by casting director Nina Gold and director Denis Villeneuve. The wide-open field stems from the deliberate search for a younger British performer capable of carrying multiple films, with no casting locked in despite screen tests scheduled for August and a producer target of an announcement by year-end. Callum Turner retains support from earlier buzz tied to his “Masters of the Air” profile, while Jacob Elordi and Aaron Taylor-Johnson benefit from reported meetings and established screen charisma. “No Bond chosen” reflects the extended timeline and lack of confirmed frontrunner status. Contenders are differentiated by age fit, British nationality, proven dramatic range, and alignment with the new creative team’s vision for a refreshed 007 era.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$98,732
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent insider commentary from broadcaster Richard Osman has propelled Scottish actor Jack Lowden into the lead, citing strong consideration for the role amid ongoing auditions overseen by casting director Nina Gold and director Denis Villeneuve. The wide-open field stems from the deliberate search for a younger British performer capable of carrying multiple films, with no casting locked in despite screen tests scheduled for August and a producer target of an announcement by year-end. Callum Turner retains support from earlier buzz tied to his “Masters of the Air” profile, while Jacob Elordi and Aaron Taylor-Johnson benefit from reported meetings and established screen charisma. “No Bond chosen” reflects the extended timeline and lack of confirmed frontrunner status. Contenders are differentiated by age fit, British nationality, proven dramatic range, and alignment with the new creative team’s vision for a refreshed 007 era.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$98,732
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Il prossimo attore di James Bond?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 17 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Jack Lowden" a 34%, seguito da "Nessun Bond scelto" a 21%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 34¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 34% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Il prossimo attore di James Bond?" ha generato $98.7K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il May 18, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Il prossimo attore di James Bond?", esplora i 17 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Il prossimo attore di James Bond?" è "Jack Lowden" a 34%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 34% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Nessun Bond scelto" a 21%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Il prossimo attore di James Bond?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.