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Sport·Scacchi

Norway Chess 2026: Winner

icon for Norway Chess 2026: Winner
Sport·Scacchi

Norway Chess 2026: Winner

Magnus Carlsen 65%

Vincent Keymer 11%

Alireza Firouzja 9%

Gukesh Dommaraju 9%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Magnus Carlsen 65%

Vincent Keymer 11%

Alireza Firouzja 9%

Gukesh Dommaraju 9%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Magnus Carlsen

$5,185 Vol.

65%

Vincent Keymer

$174 Vol.

11%

Alireza Firouzja

$99 Vol.

9%

Gukesh Dommaraju

$96 Vol.

9%

Wesley So

$96 Vol.

8%

Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu

$96 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve to the player that wins the Norway Chess 2026 tournament scheduled for May 25 - June 5, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the Norway Chess 2026 tournament per the rules provided by the event organizer, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the Norway Chess 2026 tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the event organizer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices Magnus Carlsen at 66% implied probability to win Norway Chess 2026, anchored by his world #1 FIDE rating of 2840—80+ points ahead of the field—and dominant TePe Sigeman & Co. victory last week on blitz tiebreak against Arjun Erigaisi, reaffirming his classical prowess in the home nation's premier super-tournament. Vincent Keymer's 11.5% share stems from his April Grenke Freestyle Open title on tiebreaks, signaling rising form at 2759 Elo. Alireza Firouzja (9%, 2759) offers aggressive upside, while World Champion Gukesh Dommaraju (8.5%) contends with recent slumps including last place at March's Prague Masters. Wesley So (7%, recent American Cup winner) and Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu (7.5%) complete the six-player double round-robin with Armageddon tiebreaks, starting May 25 in Oslo.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the Norway Chess 2026 tournament scheduled for May 25 - June 5, 2026.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the Norway Chess 2026 tournament per the rules provided by the event organizer, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the Norway Chess 2026 tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the event organizer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,745
Data di fine
6 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
May 11, 2026, 9:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player that wins the Norway Chess 2026 tournament scheduled for May 25 - June 5, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the Norway Chess 2026 tournament per the rules provided by the event organizer, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the Norway Chess 2026 tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the event organizer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the Norway Chess 2026 tournament scheduled for May 25 - June 5, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the Norway Chess 2026 tournament per the rules provided by the event organizer, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the Norway Chess 2026 tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the event organizer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices Magnus Carlsen at 66% implied probability to win Norway Chess 2026, anchored by his world #1 FIDE rating of 2840—80+ points ahead of the field—and dominant TePe Sigeman & Co. victory last week on blitz tiebreak against Arjun Erigaisi, reaffirming his classical prowess in the home nation's premier super-tournament. Vincent Keymer's 11.5% share stems from his April Grenke Freestyle Open title on tiebreaks, signaling rising form at 2759 Elo. Alireza Firouzja (9%, 2759) offers aggressive upside, while World Champion Gukesh Dommaraju (8.5%) contends with recent slumps including last place at March's Prague Masters. Wesley So (7%, recent American Cup winner) and Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu (7.5%) complete the six-player double round-robin with Armageddon tiebreaks, starting May 25 in Oslo.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the Norway Chess 2026 tournament scheduled for May 25 - June 5, 2026.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the Norway Chess 2026 tournament per the rules provided by the event organizer, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the Norway Chess 2026 tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the event organizer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,745
Data di fine
6 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
May 11, 2026, 9:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player that wins the Norway Chess 2026 tournament scheduled for May 25 - June 5, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the Norway Chess 2026 tournament per the rules provided by the event organizer, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the Norway Chess 2026 tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the event organizer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Norway Chess 2026: Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 6 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Magnus Carlsen" a 65%, seguito da "Vincent Keymer" a 11%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 65¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 65% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Norway Chess 2026: Winner" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il May 12, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Norway Chess 2026: Winner", esplora i 6 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Norway Chess 2026: Winner" è "Magnus Carlsen" a 65%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 65% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Vincent Keymer" a 11%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Norway Chess 2026: Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.