Recent early-week TSA screening totals, highlighted by Monday's post-Mother's Day surge past 2.66 million, have anchored trader consensus around the 17.5-18 million range for May 11-17. Partial figures through midweek show daily averages holding above 2.4 million amid the broader 2026 travel surge and expanded security staffing, aligning with historical peaks on Fridays and Sundays. This positions the leading outcome as the clearest path to roughly 17.7 million overall, while caution over potential weekend softening keeps nearby brackets in play. Daily data drops through the period will serve as the main catalysts shaping final momentum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato17.5-18m 66%
18-18.5m 42%
17-17.5m 14%
16.5-17m 5%
<16.5m
2%
16.5-17m
5%
17-17.5m
14%
17.5-18m
66%
18-18.5m
42%
>18.5m
22%
17.5-18m 66%
18-18.5m 42%
17-17.5m 14%
16.5-17m 5%
<16.5m
2%
16.5-17m
5%
17-17.5m
14%
17.5-18m
66%
18-18.5m
42%
>18.5m
22%
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from May 11, 2026 to May 17, 2026 by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Mercato aperto: May 9, 2026, 12:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from May 11, 2026 to May 17, 2026 by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent early-week TSA screening totals, highlighted by Monday's post-Mother's Day surge past 2.66 million, have anchored trader consensus around the 17.5-18 million range for May 11-17. Partial figures through midweek show daily averages holding above 2.4 million amid the broader 2026 travel surge and expanded security staffing, aligning with historical peaks on Fridays and Sundays. This positions the leading outcome as the clearest path to roughly 17.7 million overall, while caution over potential weekend softening keeps nearby brackets in play. Daily data drops through the period will serve as the main catalysts shaping final momentum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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