The robust trader consensus locking in the 18-18.5 million range for TSA passenger screenings during the May 11-17 window stems from consistent daily checkpoint volumes near 2.5 to 2.8 million, reflecting steady post-pandemic air travel recovery and a balanced mix of business and leisure demand. No major holidays, weather disruptions, or industry strikes have altered the pattern, keeping totals aligned with normalized spring rhythms ahead of the Memorial Day cultural surge. This strong positioning captures the wisdom of crowds assessing reliable seasonal trends and real-time data flows. An upset could realistically emerge from unexpected events like widespread flight cancellations due to severe storms or last-minute corporate schedule shifts that nudge the final tally outside the band.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato18-18.5m 100.0%
<16.5m <1%
16.5-17m <1%
17-17.5m <1%
$3,945 Vol.
$3,945 Vol.
17 mag 2026
<16.5m
No
16.5-17m
No
17-17.5m
No
17.5-18m
No
18-18.5m
Yes
>18.5m
No
18-18.5m 100.0%
<16.5m <1%
16.5-17m <1%
17-17.5m <1%
$3,945 Vol.
$3,945 Vol.
17 mag 2026
<16.5m
$1,469 Vol.
No
16.5-17m
$56 Vol.
No
17-17.5m
$162 Vol.
No
17.5-18m
$55 Vol.
No
18-18.5m
$457 Vol.
Yes
>18.5m
$1,745 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between May 11, 2026 and May 17, 2026 (inclusive).
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from May 11, 2026 to May 17, 2026 by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.The robust trader consensus locking in the 18-18.5 million range for TSA passenger screenings during the May 11-17 window stems from consistent daily checkpoint volumes near 2.5 to 2.8 million, reflecting steady post-pandemic air travel recovery and a balanced mix of business and leisure demand. No major holidays, weather disruptions, or industry strikes have altered the pattern, keeping totals aligned with normalized spring rhythms ahead of the Memorial Day cultural surge. This strong positioning captures the wisdom of crowds assessing reliable seasonal trends and real-time data flows. An upset could realistically emerge from unexpected events like widespread flight cancellations due to severe storms or last-minute corporate schedule shifts that nudge the final tally outside the band.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between May 11, 2026 and May 17, 2026 (inclusive).
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from May 11, 2026 to May 17, 2026 by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from May 11, 2026 to May 17, 2026 by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Mercato aperto: May 9, 2026, 12:33 PM ET
Volume
$3,945Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 9, 2026, 12:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between May 11, 2026 and May 17, 2026 (inclusive).
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from May 11, 2026 to May 17, 2026 by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.The robust trader consensus locking in the 18-18.5 million range for TSA passenger screenings during the May 11-17 window stems from consistent daily checkpoint volumes near 2.5 to 2.8 million, reflecting steady post-pandemic air travel recovery and a balanced mix of business and leisure demand. No major holidays, weather disruptions, or industry strikes have altered the pattern, keeping totals aligned with normalized spring rhythms ahead of the Memorial Day cultural surge. This strong positioning captures the wisdom of crowds assessing reliable seasonal trends and real-time data flows. An upset could realistically emerge from unexpected events like widespread flight cancellations due to severe storms or last-minute corporate schedule shifts that nudge the final tally outside the band.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between May 11, 2026 and May 17, 2026 (inclusive).
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from May 11, 2026 to May 17, 2026 by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from May 11, 2026 to May 17, 2026 by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Volume
$3,945Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 9, 2026, 12:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The robust trader consensus locking in the 18-18.5 million range for TSA passenger screenings during the May 11-17 window stems from consistent daily checkpoint volumes near 2.5 to 2.8 million, reflecting steady post-pandemic air travel recovery and a balanced mix of business and leisure demand. No major holidays, weather disruptions, or industry strikes have altered the pattern, keeping totals aligned with normalized spring rhythms ahead of the Memorial Day cultural surge. This strong positioning captures the wisdom of crowds assessing reliable seasonal trends and real-time data flows. An upset could realistically emerge from unexpected events like widespread flight cancellations due to severe storms or last-minute corporate schedule shifts that nudge the final tally outside the band.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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