Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a 94.5% implied probability for Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) shares closing the week of May 11 between $4.00 and $5.00, reflecting post-Q1 2026 earnings stabilization after revenue of $720 million beat estimates despite a 37.6% year-over-year decline and adjusted EPS of -$0.05 topping consensus. Recent closes—$5.01 on May 8, $4.85 on May 11, $4.71 on May 12, and $4.58 on May 13—have traded firmly in this range amid elevated volume of 30-40 million shares daily, digesting gross profit of $72 million and inventory reductions signaling operational efficiency in a subdued housing market with 30-year mortgage rates near 6.4%. Elevated beta of 3.65 underscores volatility risks, but no immediate catalysts like economic data releases loom; downside breaks below $4.00 could stem from worsening real estate transaction volumes or broader risk-off sentiment, while upside to $5.00+ would require positive sector momentum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$4.00-$5.00 95%
$5.00-$6.00 5.0%
$3.00-$4.00 2.9%
$7.00-$8.00 <1%
$23,036 Vol.
$23,036 Vol.
15 mag 2026
<$1.00
<1%
$1.00-$2.00
<1%
$2.00-$3.00
1%
$3.00-$4.00
3%
$4.00-$5.00
95%
$5.00-$6.00
5%
$6.00-$7.00
<1%
$7.00-$8.00
1%
$8.00-$9.00
<1%
$9.00-$10
<1%
>$10
<1%
$4.00-$5.00 95%
$5.00-$6.00 5.0%
$3.00-$4.00 2.9%
$7.00-$8.00 <1%
$23,036 Vol.
$23,036 Vol.
15 mag 2026
<$1.00
$886 Vol.
<1%
$1.00-$2.00
$753 Vol.
<1%
$2.00-$3.00
$454 Vol.
1%
$3.00-$4.00
$13,209 Vol.
3%
$4.00-$5.00
$3,565 Vol.
95%
$5.00-$6.00
$275 Vol.
5%
$6.00-$7.00
$172 Vol.
<1%
$7.00-$8.00
$459 Vol.
1%
$8.00-$9.00
$893 Vol.
<1%
$9.00-$10
$567 Vol.
<1%
>$10
$1,805 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Opendoor (OPEN) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Opendoor (OPEN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a 94.5% implied probability for Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) shares closing the week of May 11 between $4.00 and $5.00, reflecting post-Q1 2026 earnings stabilization after revenue of $720 million beat estimates despite a 37.6% year-over-year decline and adjusted EPS of -$0.05 topping consensus. Recent closes—$5.01 on May 8, $4.85 on May 11, $4.71 on May 12, and $4.58 on May 13—have traded firmly in this range amid elevated volume of 30-40 million shares daily, digesting gross profit of $72 million and inventory reductions signaling operational efficiency in a subdued housing market with 30-year mortgage rates near 6.4%. Elevated beta of 3.65 underscores volatility risks, but no immediate catalysts like economic data releases loom; downside breaks below $4.00 could stem from worsening real estate transaction volumes or broader risk-off sentiment, while upside to $5.00+ would require positive sector momentum.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Opendoor (OPEN) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Opendoor (OPEN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Opendoor (OPEN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Mercato aperto: May 9, 2026, 6:58 AM ET
Volume
$23,036Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 9, 2026, 6:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Opendoor (OPEN) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Opendoor (OPEN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a 94.5% implied probability for Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) shares closing the week of May 11 between $4.00 and $5.00, reflecting post-Q1 2026 earnings stabilization after revenue of $720 million beat estimates despite a 37.6% year-over-year decline and adjusted EPS of -$0.05 topping consensus. Recent closes—$5.01 on May 8, $4.85 on May 11, $4.71 on May 12, and $4.58 on May 13—have traded firmly in this range amid elevated volume of 30-40 million shares daily, digesting gross profit of $72 million and inventory reductions signaling operational efficiency in a subdued housing market with 30-year mortgage rates near 6.4%. Elevated beta of 3.65 underscores volatility risks, but no immediate catalysts like economic data releases loom; downside breaks below $4.00 could stem from worsening real estate transaction volumes or broader risk-off sentiment, while upside to $5.00+ would require positive sector momentum.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Opendoor (OPEN) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Opendoor (OPEN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Opendoor (OPEN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$23,036Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 9, 2026, 6:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a 94.5% implied probability for Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) shares closing the week of May 11 between $4.00 and $5.00, reflecting post-Q1 2026 earnings stabilization after revenue of $720 million beat estimates despite a 37.6% year-over-year decline and adjusted EPS of -$0.05 topping consensus. Recent closes—$5.01 on May 8, $4.85 on May 11, $4.71 on May 12, and $4.58 on May 13—have traded firmly in this range amid elevated volume of 30-40 million shares daily, digesting gross profit of $72 million and inventory reductions signaling operational efficiency in a subdued housing market with 30-year mortgage rates near 6.4%. Elevated beta of 3.65 underscores volatility risks, but no immediate catalysts like economic data releases loom; downside breaks below $4.00 could stem from worsening real estate transaction volumes or broader risk-off sentiment, while upside to $5.00+ would require positive sector momentum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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