The demanding setup at Aronimink Golf Club for the 2026 PGA Championship has tilted trader consensus heavily toward no hole in one. Tight, tucked pin placements on the par-3s have drawn sharp criticism from players including Scottie Scheffler, who called the locations among the toughest he has seen, forcing approaches to safer spots away from the flag and limiting aggressive attacks. Windy conditions and firm greens have further compressed scoring opportunities, producing more pars and bogeys than birdies through the early rounds. While the field features long hitters capable of reaching some par-3s, the combination of strategic hole locations and recent form favoring precision over risk has reinforced the strong market lean against an ace occurring.