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Economy·RBI

Reserve Bank of India decision in August

icon for Reserve Bank of India decision in August
Economy·RBI

Reserve Bank of India decision in August

ago 5

ago 5

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Increase 100%

Decrease 50%

Polymarket
NUOVO

No Change 100%

Increase 100%

Decrease 50%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Decrease

$0 Vol.

50%

No Change

$0 Vol.

100%

Increase

$0 Vol.

100%

This market will resolve according to the change in the policy repo rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee’s August meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its meeting scheduled for August 5, 2026. This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. The statement will be made available here: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent developments in Indian inflation and global energy markets have created balanced trader expectations for the RBI's August 2026 repo rate decision, currently priced near even odds across decrease, no change, and increase outcomes. The central bank held the policy rate at 5.25% with a neutral stance at its June meeting, while lifting its FY27 CPI inflation forecast to 5.1% from 4.6% amid West Asia tensions, higher oil prices, and supply disruptions, even as current readings remain below the 4% target. This upward revision, paired with a trimmed GDP growth projection to 6.6%, underscores competing pressures: potential rate hikes to anchor inflation expectations and defend the rupee versus support for moderating domestic demand. Key swing factors include July CPI prints, monsoon performance, and crude oil trajectories ahead of the early-August MPC meeting. Market-implied probabilities reflect this uncertainty in the near-term policy path.

This market will resolve according to the change in the policy repo rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee’s August meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its meeting scheduled for August 5, 2026.

This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. The statement will be made available here: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$0
Data di fine
5 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 10:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the policy repo rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee’s August meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its meeting scheduled for August 5, 2026. This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. The statement will be made available here: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the policy repo rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee’s August meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its meeting scheduled for August 5, 2026. This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. The statement will be made available here: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent developments in Indian inflation and global energy markets have created balanced trader expectations for the RBI's August 2026 repo rate decision, currently priced near even odds across decrease, no change, and increase outcomes. The central bank held the policy rate at 5.25% with a neutral stance at its June meeting, while lifting its FY27 CPI inflation forecast to 5.1% from 4.6% amid West Asia tensions, higher oil prices, and supply disruptions, even as current readings remain below the 4% target. This upward revision, paired with a trimmed GDP growth projection to 6.6%, underscores competing pressures: potential rate hikes to anchor inflation expectations and defend the rupee versus support for moderating domestic demand. Key swing factors include July CPI prints, monsoon performance, and crude oil trajectories ahead of the early-August MPC meeting. Market-implied probabilities reflect this uncertainty in the near-term policy path.

This market will resolve according to the change in the policy repo rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee’s August meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its meeting scheduled for August 5, 2026.

This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. The statement will be made available here: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$0
Data di fine
5 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 10:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the policy repo rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee’s August meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its meeting scheduled for August 5, 2026. This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. The statement will be made available here: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

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Domande frequenti

"Reserve Bank of India decision in August" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 3 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Decrease" a 50%, seguito da "No Change" a 50%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 50¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 50% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Reserve Bank of India decision in August" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Jun 30, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Reserve Bank of India decision in August", esplora i 3 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Reserve Bank of India decision in August" è "Decrease" a 50%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 50% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "No Change" a 50%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Reserve Bank of India decision in August" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.