President Aleksandar Vučić’s June 27, 2026, announcement that he would resign within weeks and trigger early presidential and parliamentary elections remains the central driver of trader expectations around National Assembly dissolution. Ongoing mass protests since late 2024, focused on institutional integrity and electoral conditions, have sustained pressure on the ruling Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) majority. As of mid-August 2026, parliament remains in session under Prime Minister Đuro Macut with no dissolution decree issued and no firm timeline announced, consistent with Vučić’s pattern of calling snap votes on short notice. Constitutional rules require elections 45–60 days after dissolution, and historical precedent shows the president and SNS frequently time such moves to consolidate power. Upcoming diplomatic or domestic events could still shift the schedule before the end of 2026.