The Democratic Party of Korea holds a commanding position ahead of the June 3 National Assembly by-elections due to its role as the ruling party under President Lee Jae-myung and sustained advantages in most contested districts. The opposition People Power Party remains weakened by the lingering effects of former President Yoon Suk-yeol’s 2024 martial law declaration, which eroded its organizational strength and national polling support to around 20 percent. Recent candidate registrations and campaign pledges highlight the Democratic Party’s focus on balanced regional development, aligning with voter priorities in the combined local and by-election cycle. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though shifts remain possible if opposition mobilization gains traction or unexpected events alter turnout in the final weeks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSouth Korea By-Elections: Party Winner
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) 97.4%
People Power Party (PPP) 3.2%
Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP) <1%
Progressive Party (PP) <1%
$44,223 Vol.
$44,223 Vol.

People Power Party (PPP)
3%

Democratic Party of Korea (DP)
97%

Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP)
<1%

Progressive Party (PP)
<1%

Reform Party (RP)
<1%
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) 97.4%
People Power Party (PPP) 3.2%
Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP) <1%
Progressive Party (PP) <1%
$44,223 Vol.
$44,223 Vol.

People Power Party (PPP)
3%

Democratic Party of Korea (DP)
97%

Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP)
<1%

Progressive Party (PP)
<1%

Reform Party (RP)
<1%
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Mercato aperto: Feb 12, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party of Korea holds a commanding position ahead of the June 3 National Assembly by-elections due to its role as the ruling party under President Lee Jae-myung and sustained advantages in most contested districts. The opposition People Power Party remains weakened by the lingering effects of former President Yoon Suk-yeol’s 2024 martial law declaration, which eroded its organizational strength and national polling support to around 20 percent. Recent candidate registrations and campaign pledges highlight the Democratic Party’s focus on balanced regional development, aligning with voter priorities in the combined local and by-election cycle. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though shifts remain possible if opposition mobilization gains traction or unexpected events alter turnout in the final weeks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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