The Democratic Party of Korea enters the June 3 by-elections holding 13 of the 14 contested National Assembly seats, bolstered by President Lee Jae-myung’s approval ratings near 60 percent and the party’s recent nomination of high-profile candidates for districts including Busan Buk-gu-gap and Gyeonggi Pyeongtaek-eul. Traders assign 72.4 percent probability to 10 or more seats for the DP because recent polling and local-election momentum indicate limited vulnerability even in conservative strongholds such as Daegu and Busan. Opposition People Power Party candidates face structural disadvantages in most races, while minor parties remain marginal. With candidate registration now closed and campaigns underway, the outcome hinges on turnout in these concurrent by-elections rather than any single late-breaking event.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato# di seggi vinti da DP nelle elezioni suppletive in Corea del Sud?
# di seggi vinti da DP nelle elezioni suppletive in Corea del Sud?
10 o più 66.0%
8-9 33.1%
2-3 <1%
0-1 <1%
$34,505 Vol.
$34,505 Vol.
3 giu 2026
0-1
<1%
2-3
<1%
4-5
<1%
6-7
<1%
8-9
27%
10 o più
72%
10 o più 66.0%
8-9 33.1%
2-3 <1%
0-1 <1%
$34,505 Vol.
$34,505 Vol.
3 giu 2026
0-1
$3,928 Vol.
<1%
2-3
$5,328 Vol.
<1%
4-5
$3,763 Vol.
<1%
6-7
$3,754 Vol.
<1%
8-9
$4,373 Vol.
27%
10 o più
$13,359 Vol.
72%
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.The Democratic Party of Korea enters the June 3 by-elections holding 13 of the 14 contested National Assembly seats, bolstered by President Lee Jae-myung’s approval ratings near 60 percent and the party’s recent nomination of high-profile candidates for districts including Busan Buk-gu-gap and Gyeonggi Pyeongtaek-eul. Traders assign 72.4 percent probability to 10 or more seats for the DP because recent polling and local-election momentum indicate limited vulnerability even in conservative strongholds such as Daegu and Busan. Opposition People Power Party candidates face structural disadvantages in most races, while minor parties remain marginal. With candidate registration now closed and campaigns underway, the outcome hinges on turnout in these concurrent by-elections rather than any single late-breaking event.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Mercato aperto: Feb 12, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
Volume
$34,505Data di fine
3 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 12, 2026, 4:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.The Democratic Party of Korea enters the June 3 by-elections holding 13 of the 14 contested National Assembly seats, bolstered by President Lee Jae-myung’s approval ratings near 60 percent and the party’s recent nomination of high-profile candidates for districts including Busan Buk-gu-gap and Gyeonggi Pyeongtaek-eul. Traders assign 72.4 percent probability to 10 or more seats for the DP because recent polling and local-election momentum indicate limited vulnerability even in conservative strongholds such as Daegu and Busan. Opposition People Power Party candidates face structural disadvantages in most races, while minor parties remain marginal. With candidate registration now closed and campaigns underway, the outcome hinges on turnout in these concurrent by-elections rather than any single late-breaking event.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Volume
$34,505Data di fine
3 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 12, 2026, 4:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party of Korea enters the June 3 by-elections holding 13 of the 14 contested National Assembly seats, bolstered by President Lee Jae-myung’s approval ratings near 60 percent and the party’s recent nomination of high-profile candidates for districts including Busan Buk-gu-gap and Gyeonggi Pyeongtaek-eul. Traders assign 72.4 percent probability to 10 or more seats for the DP because recent polling and local-election momentum indicate limited vulnerability even in conservative strongholds such as Daegu and Busan. Opposition People Power Party candidates face structural disadvantages in most races, while minor parties remain marginal. With candidate registration now closed and campaigns underway, the outcome hinges on turnout in these concurrent by-elections rather than any single late-breaking event.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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